633
FXUS65 KFGZ 031025
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
325 AM MST SAT JAN 3 2026
SYNOPSIS
EXPECT MILD AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER THIS WEEKEND, WITH
SOME LIGHT SHOWERS FOR MONDAY. COOLER AND POTENTIALLY UNSETTLED
WEATHER THEN DEVELOPS FOR LATER NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
A BROAD TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO
STREAM MOISTURE INTO ARIZONA FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE
MOISTURE, UNFORTUNATELY, IS NOT ACCOMPANIED BY SIGNIFICANT DYNAMICS
AND WILL NOT PRODUCE MUCH WEATHER. A WEAK S/WV ON MONDAY MAY WRING
OUT A FEW UPSLOPE SHOWERS, WITH ANOTHER DUE THURSDAY/FRIDAY. THIS
TROUGH LATER NEXT WEEK MAY BE A BIT MORE MEANINGFUL AND WILL CONTAIN
COLDER AIR, HOWEVER, THERE IS LARGE MODEL DISAGREEMENT AT THIS TIME.
IN SUMMARY, EXPECT TEMPERATURES AROUND NORMAL WITH AREAS OF HIGH
CLOUDS IN THE DAY, SOME FOG AND LOW CLOUDS EACH NIGHT. SOUTHWEST
BREEZES WILL DEVELOP, BUT NOTHING VERY STRONG. CHANCES OF RAIN AND
HIGH-ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS MONDAY DO NOT LOOK IMPACTFUL. WE WILL
WATCH THE SECOND SYSTEM LATER NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION...SATURDAY 03/06Z THROUGH SUNDAY 04/06Z
VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN AZ THROUGH THE PERIOD, BUT LOCALIZED
AREAS OF BR/FG WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 14Z. PRIMARY LOCATIONS
FOR LOWER CEILINGS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL BE KGCN AND KFLG.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS FORECAST UNTIL 18Z, WHEN SOUTHERLY WINDS
5-15 KTS RETURN.
OUTLOOK...SUNDAY 04/06Z THROUGH TUESDAY 06/06Z...VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED UNTIL AT LEAST 15Z SUNDAY, BUT AREAS OF -SHRA/-SHSN
POSSIBLE AFTERWARDS. SHOWERS WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE
END OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD, MOSTLY FOCUSING ON HIGHER ELEVATION
LOCATIONS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL KICK OFF THE PERIOD,
TURNING S-SW AT 10-20 KTS AFTER 15Z. WIND GUSTS NEAR STORMS COULD
REACH UP TO 30 KTS.
FIRE WEATHER...TODAY AND SUNDAY
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
5-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH CONTINUED ELEVATED HUMIDITY. THERE IS
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS BY
LATE SUNDAY. WINDS ARE SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH OR LESS ON SATURDAY,
INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH ON SUNDAY.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL
CONTINUE WITH A DECREASING TREND IN TEMPERATURES. ADDITIONAL CHANCES
FOR PRECIPITATION EACH DAY. SNOW LEVELS 7000-8000 FEET MONDAY AND
6000-7000 FEET TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL BE PRIMARILY FROM
THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10-15 MPH EACH DAY.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...PETERSON
AVIATION...KONIECZNY
FIRE WEATHER...LEWANDOWSKI
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page