807
FXUS65 KFGZ 031729
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1029 AM MST SAT JAN 3 2026
SYNOPSIS
EXPECT MILD AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER THIS WEEKEND, WITH
SOME LIGHT SHOWERS FOR MONDAY. COOLER AND POTENTIALLY UNSETTLED
WEATHER THEN DEVELOPS FOR LATER NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
A BROAD TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO
STREAM MOISTURE INTO ARIZONA FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE
MOISTURE, UNFORTUNATELY, IS NOT ACCOMPANIED BY SIGNIFICANT DYNAMICS
AND WILL NOT PRODUCE MUCH WEATHER. A WEAK S/WV ON MONDAY MAY WRING
OUT A FEW UPSLOPE SHOWERS, WITH ANOTHER DUE THURSDAY/FRIDAY. THIS
TROUGH LATER NEXT WEEK MAY BE A BIT MORE MEANINGFUL AND WILL CONTAIN
COLDER AIR, HOWEVER, THERE IS LARGE MODEL DISAGREEMENT AT THIS TIME.
IN SUMMARY, EXPECT TEMPERATURES AROUND NORMAL WITH AREAS OF HIGH
CLOUDS IN THE DAY, SOME FOG AND LOW CLOUDS EACH NIGHT. SOUTHWEST
BREEZES WILL DEVELOP, BUT NOTHING VERY STRONG. CHANCES OF RAIN AND
HIGH-ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS MONDAY DO NOT LOOK IMPACTFUL. WE WILL
WATCH THE SECOND SYSTEM LATER NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION...SATURDAY 03/18Z THROUGH SUNDAY 04/18Z
LOCALIZED
AREAS OF BR/FG REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH AROUND 19Z WITH IMPACTS
PRIMARILY SEEN AT KPRC AND WEST OF KGCN. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THEREAFTER WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUDS NEAR 15,000 FT AGL. WINDS ARE
S-SW 5-15 KTS THROUGH 02Z THIS EVENING, LIGHT AND VRB OTHERWISE.
OUTLOOK...SUNDAY 04/18Z THROUGH TUESDAY 06/18Z...EXPECT LOWERING
CLOUD BASES FROM WEST TO EAST ON SUNDAY, WITH SOME MVFR CEILINGS
POSSIBLE. CHANCES FOR DRIZZLE, FOG, AND/OR -SHRA/-SHSN WITH
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS START SUNDAY EVENING, PEAKING FROM 06Z MONDAY
TO 00Z TUESDAY ALONG/WEST OF A KGCN-KFLG-KPAN LINE. PATCHES OF LOW
CEILINGS AND FOG MAY LINGER INTO TUESDAY MORNING. WINDS ARE SW AT
10-20 KTS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY, LIKELY STAYING ELEVATED SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. LIGHT AND VRB WINDS OTHERWISE.
FIRE WEATHER...TODAY AND SUNDAY
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
5-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH CONTINUED ELEVATED HUMIDITY. THERE IS
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS BY
LATE SUNDAY. WINDS ARE SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH OR LESS ON SATURDAY,
INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH ON SUNDAY.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL
CONTINUE WITH A DECREASING TREND IN TEMPERATURES. ADDITIONAL CHANCES
FOR PRECIPITATION EACH DAY. SNOW LEVELS 7000-8000 FEET MONDAY AND
6000-7000 FEET TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL BE PRIMARILY FROM
THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10-15 MPH EACH DAY.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...PETERSON
AVIATION...JJ
FIRE WEATHER...LEWANDOWSKI
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page