024
FXUS65 KFGZ 271915
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1215 PM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
SYNOPSIS
WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES ARRIVE OVER THE COMING
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
OUR HYPER-AMPLIFIED LA NIñA PATTERN CONTINUES FOR
MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, IF NOT ALL OF IT. THERE ARE ONLY A FEW
SUBTLE THINGS TO TALK ABOUT, BUT IN GENERAL, THE WEATHER WILL HARDLY
CHANGE. FOR THE FIRST FEW DAYS, LET'S SAY THROUGH ABOUT THURSDAY, WE
WILL BE ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC RIDGE. THIS WILL
KEEP THE FULL WARMING POTENTIAL OF THE RIDGE FROM MATERIALIZING JUST
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM. IT WILL ALSO ENCOURAGE SOME
NORTHERLY/NORTHEASTERLY FLOW, ALLOWING AREAS SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON
RIM TO WARM UP CONSIDERABLY. LATER THIS WEEK AND OVER THE COMING
WEEKEND, THE RIDGE MOVES OVER ARIZONA, ALLOWING ALL AREAS TO BE AT
LEAST 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
THAT'S ABOUT IT! THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A BOMB CYCLONE OFF THE
CAROLINAS NEXT WEEKEND. FOR ALL YOU WEATHER GEEKS READING THIS, TAKE
A LOOK AT THOSE SOLUTIONS, THEY ARE WILD!
AVIATION...TUESDAY 27/18Z THROUGH WEDNESDAY 28/18Z
VFR
CONDITIONS, NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT
10KTS OR LESS DAYTIME, LIGHT AND VARIABLE EXCEPT LOCATIONS
DOWNSLOPE OF MOGOLLON RIM LIKE KSEZ, THEN NE 10-15KTS, GUSTS TO
20KTS.
OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY 28/18Z THROUGH FRIDAY 30/18Z...VFR CONDITIONS,
NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT 10KTS OR
LESS WEDNESDAY, BECOMING N-NE 5-15KTS THURSDAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OR TERRAIN DRIVEN OVERNIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER...WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
DRY CONDITIONS WITH
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE 5-10 MPH
WEDNESDAY, N-NE 5-15 MPH THURSDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH VALUES
BETWEEN 10-20% WEDNESDAY, 15-25% THURSDAY.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMING 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. WINDS N-NE 5-15 MPH FRIDAY,
LIGHT AND VARIABLE 5-10 MPH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON
RH VALUES BETWEEN 15-30% EACH DAY.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...PETERSON
AVIATION...BERNHART
FIRE WEATHER...BERNHART
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
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