243
FXUS65 KFGZ 280505
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1005 PM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
SYNOPSIS
WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES ARRIVE OVER THE COMING
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
OUR HYPER-AMPLIFIED LA NIñA PATTERN CONTINUES FOR
MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, IF NOT ALL OF IT. THERE ARE ONLY A FEW
SUBTLE THINGS TO TALK ABOUT, BUT IN GENERAL, THE WEATHER WILL HARDLY
CHANGE. FOR THE FIRST FEW DAYS, LET'S SAY THROUGH ABOUT THURSDAY, WE
WILL BE ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC RIDGE. THIS WILL
KEEP THE FULL WARMING POTENTIAL OF THE RIDGE FROM MATERIALIZING JUST
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM. IT WILL ALSO ENCOURAGE SOME
NORTHERLY/NORTHEASTERLY FLOW, ALLOWING AREAS SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON
RIM TO WARM UP CONSIDERABLY. LATER THIS WEEK AND OVER THE COMING
WEEKEND, THE RIDGE MOVES OVER ARIZONA, ALLOWING ALL AREAS TO BE AT
LEAST 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
THAT'S ABOUT IT! THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A BOMB CYCLONE OFF THE
CAROLINAS NEXT WEEKEND. FOR ALL YOU WEATHER GEEKS READING THIS, TAKE
A LOOK AT THOSE SOLUTIONS, THEY ARE WILD!
AVIATION...WEDNESDAY 28/06Z THROUGH THURSDAY 29/06Z
VFR CONDITIONS
WITH DAYTIME VARIABLE WINDS AROUND 10 KTS OR LESS. LOCALLY GUSTY
NE WINDS DOWNWIND OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OVERNIGHT.
OUTLOOK...THURSDAY 29/06Z THROUGH SATURDAY 31/06Z...VFR CONDITIONS
WITH DAYTIME N-NE WINDS 5-15 KTS. LOCALLY GUSTY NE WINDS DOWNWIND
OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OVERNIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER...WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
DRY CONDITIONS WITH
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE 5-10 MPH
WEDNESDAY, N-NE 5-15 MPH THURSDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH VALUES
BETWEEN 10-20% WEDNESDAY, 15-25% THURSDAY.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES
WARMING 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. WINDS N-NE 5-15 MPH FRIDAY,
LIGHT AND VARIABLE 5-10 MPH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON
RH VALUES BETWEEN 15-30% EACH DAY.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...PETERSON
AVIATION...MEOLA
FIRE WEATHER...BERNHART
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
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