043  
FXUS65 KFGZ 281044  
AFDFGZ  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ  
344 AM MST WED JAN 28 2026  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE  
FORECAST PERIOD. THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES ARRIVE OVER THE COMING  
WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
THE GENERAL WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL  
FEATURE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WEST COAST, WITH A COUPLE OF  
SHORTWAVES MOVING OVER THE RIDGE AND DIVING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH  
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO NEW MEXICO. THE FIRST SHORTWAVE WILL  
CROSS THE AREA TODAY, BRINGING SOME HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH THE DAY  
AND SOME WESTERLY BREEZES OF 10-15 MPH. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE A  
FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY, THEN COOL A FEW DEGREES THURSDAY  
ALONG/NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AS NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS RETURN  
BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE. TEMPERATURES SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM  
WON'T BE AFFECTED AND REMAIN WARM. THE RIDGE MOVES INTO ARIZONA  
FOR THE WEEKEND AND SHOULD BRING THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES OF THE  
PERIOD, MID TO UPPER 50S FOR THE MOUNTAINS TO MID 70S IN THE VERDE  
VALLEY. ENSEMBLE FORECASTS ARE INDICATING A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE  
ALONG THE WEST COAST BY AROUND NEXT TUESDAY WHICH COULD ALLOW FOR  
WEAK TROUGHING OVER OUR REGION. NOTHING TO GET EXCITED ABOUT AT  
ALL, BUT IT COULD BRING SOME SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER AND A LOW  
CHANCE OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION (CURRENTLY 10-15% CHANCES).  
 

 
   
AVIATION...WEDNESDAY 28/12Z THROUGH THURSDAY 29/12Z
 
VFR  
CONDITIONS, WITH VRB WINDS 5-10 KTS. LOCALIZED NE GUSTS 15-25 KTS  
DOWNWIND OF THE TERRAIN TERRAIN OVERNIGHT.  
 
OUTLOOK...THURSDAY 29/12Z THROUGH SATURDAY 31/12Z...VFR CONDITIONS  
WITH DAYTIME WINDS N/NE 5-10 KTS EACH DAY, BECOMING LIGHT AND VRB  
OVERNIGHT. NE WINDS REMAIN ELEVATED OVERNIGHT DOWNWIND OF THE HIGHER  
TERRAIN.  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER...TODAY AND THURSDAY
 
DRY CONDITIONS WITH SEASONABLE  
TEMPERATURES. WINDS VARIABLE 5-10 MPH TODAY, BECOMING N/NE 5-15 MPH  
ON THURSDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH 10-20% TODAY, INCREASING TO 15-25%  
THURSDAY.  
 
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...TURNING WARMER, ALONG WITH CONTINUED DRY  
CONDITIONS. WINDS N/NE 5-15 MPH ON FRIDAY, BECOMING LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE OVER THE WEEKEND. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH 15-30% EACH DAY.  
 

 
   
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
PUBLIC...JJ  
AVIATION...HUMPHREYS  
FIRE WEATHER...HUMPHREYS  
 
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT  
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF  
 
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