939
FXUS65 KFGZ 281952
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1252 PM MST WED JAN 28 2026
SYNOPSIS
WARM AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES ARRIVE OVER THE COMING
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
A DECENT AMPLITUDE S/WV TROUGH CURRENTLY RIDING OVER
THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF OUR RIDGE HAS BROUGHT A DECENT AMOUNT OF
CLOUD COVER THE STATE TODAY. THIS HAS RESULTED IN SOME SUPPRESSION
OF TEMPERATURES, ESPECIALLY OVER INVERTED VALLEYS. THIS TROUGH WILL
RESULT IN SOME NORTHEASTERLY WINDS FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, KEEPING
OUR LOWS DOWN A LITTLE BIT FROM THEIR POTENTIAL, AS WELL AS KEEPING
INVERSIONS IN THE NORTHEAST VALLEYS.
HOWEVER, BY THIS WEEKEND, THE RIDGE AXIS MOVES EAST AND RECENTERS
OVER ARIZONA. THIS WILL WARM MOST LOCATIONS UP CONSIDERABLY, EVEN
REACHING 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THE
PATTERN COULD BREAK DOWN A BIT TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD, BUT THAT IDEA LOOKS IFFY AT BEST, FOR NOW.
AVIATION...WEDNESDAY 28/18Z THROUGH THURSDAY 29/18Z
VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOOK FOR GENERALLY
SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHWEST WINDS 5-15 KTS THROUGHOUT THE DAY, BUT
LOCALIZED NE GUSTS 15-25 KTS DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT.
OUTLOOK...THURSDAY 29/18Z THROUGH SATURDAY 31/18Z...VFR CONDITIONS
FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. EXPECT N-NE WINDS 5-15 KTS EACH
AFTERNOON, BECOMING MOSTLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT OUTSIDE OF
LOCALIZED NE GUSTS DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN.
FIRE WEATHER...THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
EXPECT DAYTIME HIGHS ABOUT 5
TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL EACH DAY, ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS WHERE
MINIMUM RH VALUES LOOK TO BE 15-30%. LOOK FOR LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS
5-15 MPH EACH AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
LOCALIZED AREAS DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN COULD SEE NE GUSTS TO 25
MPH.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...WELL ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME HIGHS AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE EACH DAY. LOOK FOR LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
OVER THE WEEKEND, BECOMING WESTERLY 5-10 MPH ON MONDAY.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...PETERSON
AVIATION...KONIECZNY
FIRE WEATHER...KONIECZNY
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
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