928
FXUS65 KFGZ 071043
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
343 AM MST SAT MAR 7 2026
SYNOPSIS
EXPECT DRY AND WARMER WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND, WITH A
CHANCE OF MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS EARLY NEXT WEEK. EVEN WARMER WEATHER
THEN DEVELOPS LATER NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
PROGRESSIVE FLOW IN THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THIS ALLOWS ENERGY THAT IS CURRENTLY
RETROGRADING OVER ARIZONA TO FORM A CUT OFF LOW, LOCATED WELL TO OUR
SOUTHWEST, OVER THE WEEKEND. THE AIR MASS OVER ARIZONA WILL QUICKLY
STABILIZE AND WARM AS THE LOW SINKS SOUTH, WITH LITTLE OR NO CHANCE
FOR ANY PRECIPITATION. EVENTUALLY, THIS LOW GETS PICKED UP BY THE
NORTHERN STREAM EARLY NEXT WEEK, BRINGING A BRIEF CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AS IT EJECTS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY BE FOLLOWED
BY AN AGGRESSIVE WEST COAST RIDGE, THAT WILL BRING A PRONOUNCED
WARMING AND DRYING TREND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION...SATURDAY 07/12Z THROUGH SUNDAY 08/12Z
VFR CONDITIONS.
WINDS NE 10-20 KTS WITH GUSTS 25-30 KTS BEFORE 02Z, THEN SUBSIDING
TO 5-15 KTS.
OUTLOOK...SUNDAY 08/12Z THROUGH TUESDAY 10/12Z...VFR CONDITIONS
BEFORE 18Z MONDAY, THEN PERIODS OF MVFR POSSIBLE IN LOW CIGS/SHRA.
WINDS E/NE 5-15 KTS ON SUNDAY, BECOMING S/SW ON MONDAY. LOCALIZED
GUSTS 20-25 KTS 03Z-16Z SUNDAY DOWNWIND OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
FIRE WEATHER...TODAY AND SUNDAY
COOL TODAY, TURNING WARMER ON
SUNDAY. DRY CONDITIONS EACH DAY. WINDS NORTHEAST 10-20 MPH TODAY,
BECOMING EAST/NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH. LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WARMING TEMPERATURES. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY, WITH DRY
CONDITIONS RETURNING ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH ON
MONDAY, BECOMING WEST 10-15 MPH ON TUESDAY, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH/NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...PETERSON
AVIATION...HUMPHREYS
FIRE WEATHER...HUMPHREYS
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
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