235
FXUS65 KFGZ 071731
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1031 AM MST SAT MAR 7 2026
SYNOPSIS
EXPECT DRY AND WARMER WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND, WITH A
CHANCE OF MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS EARLY NEXT WEEK. EVEN WARMER WEATHER
THEN DEVELOPS LATER NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
PROGRESSIVE FLOW IN THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THIS ALLOWS ENERGY THAT IS CURRENTLY
RETROGRADING OVER ARIZONA TO FORM A CUT OFF LOW, LOCATED WELL TO OUR
SOUTHWEST, OVER THE WEEKEND. THE AIR MASS OVER ARIZONA WILL QUICKLY
STABILIZE AND WARM AS THE LOW SINKS SOUTH, WITH LITTLE OR NO CHANCE
FOR ANY PRECIPITATION. EVENTUALLY, THIS LOW GETS PICKED UP BY THE
NORTHERN STREAM EARLY NEXT WEEK, BRINGING A BRIEF CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AS IT EJECTS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL LIKELY BE FOLLOWED
BY AN AGGRESSIVE WEST COAST RIDGE, THAT WILL BRING A PRONOUNCED
WARMING AND DRYING TREND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION...SATURDAY 07/18Z THROUGH SUNDAY 08/18Z
VFR CONDITIONS.
NE WINDS 10-20 KTS WITH GUSTS 25-30 KTS THROUGH 02Z, THEN SUBSIDING
TO 5-15 KTS. LOCALIZED GUSTY NE WINDS 20-25 KTS DOWNWIND OF THE
HIGHER TERRAIN 03Z-16Z.
OUTLOOK...SUNDAY 08/18Z THROUGH TUESDAY 10/18Z...VFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH 18Z MONDAY, THEN PERIODS OF MVFR POSSIBLE IN SHRA/CIGS.
E/NE WINDS 5-15 KTS ON SUNDAY, BECOMING S-SW ON MONDAY.
FIRE WEATHER...TODAY AND SUNDAY
COOL TODAY, TURNING WARMER ON
SUNDAY. DRY CONDITIONS EACH DAY. WINDS NORTHEAST 10-20 MPH TODAY,
BECOMING EAST/NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH. LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WARMING TEMPERATURES. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY, WITH DRY
CONDITIONS RETURNING ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH ON
MONDAY, BECOMING WEST 10-15 MPH ON TUESDAY, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH/NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...PETERSON
AVIATION...MEOLA
FIRE WEATHER...HUMPHREYS
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
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