185
FXUS65 KFGZ 170445
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
945 PM MST THU APR 16 2026
SYNOPSIS
WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON,
FOLLOWED BY COOLER TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AS A WEATHER SYSTEM PASSES
TO OUR NORTH. DRY ON SATURDAY WITH CHILLY MORNING LOWS, THEN
TURNING WARMER TO START NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
A QUICK SHORTWAVE WILL BRUSH PAST NORTHERN AZ TODAY
INTO TOMORROW. THE THE TRAJECTORY OF THE DISTURBANCE WILL KEEP ANY
PRECIPITATION WELL TO OUR NORTH, AND THE PRIMARY IMPACTS ARE COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WINDS. GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE PEAKED IN
THE 30-40 MPH RANGE. WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED INTO TONIGHT,
EVENTUALLY SHIFTING WEST TO NORTHWEST THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
FRIDAY AFTERNOON WILL SEE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 25 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA,
HOWEVER GUSTS UP TO 30-40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN FAR EASTERN AZ.
A DRY NORTHEAST FLOW WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. HIGH
ELEVATION LOCATIONS PROTECTED FROM THE WINDS WILL BE CHILLY ON
SATURDAY MORNING, POTENTIALLY INTO THE TEENS TO LOW 20S. ELSEWHERE,
CONSISTENT BREEZES KEEP OVERNIGHT LOWS MORE MODERATE. AREAS ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM COULD EVEN SEE LOCALIZED GUSTS UP TO
25 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT.
A FEW WEAK SHORTWAVE FEATURES WILL APPROACH AZ ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
WE WILL SEE BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH RECOVERING
DEWPOINTS, AND THERE MAY BE JUST ENOUGH LIFT FOR SOME ISOLATED
SHOWERS OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN. A DEEPER PACIFIC TROUGH LOOKS TO COME
ONSHORE SOMETIME LATE NEXT WEEK, BUT THERE IS PLENTY OF SPREAD IN
THE TRACK AND TIMING, AND CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN THE IMPACTS.
AVIATION...FRIDAY 17/06Z THROUGH SATURDAY 18/06Z
VFR CONDITIONS.
WINDS W/SW 5-15 KTS OVERNIGHT, BECOMING NW-NE 10-20 KTS AFTER 14Z
THEN SUBSIDING TO 5-10 KTS AFTER 02Z. NE WINDS REMAINING ELEVATED
DOWNWIND OF THE TERRAIN OVERNIGHT.
OUTLOOK...SATURDAY 18/06Z THROUGH MONDAY 20/06Z...VFR CONDITIONS.
WINDS N/NE 5-15 KTS ON SATURDAY, BECOMING S/SE ON SUNDAY. NE WINDS
REMAIN ELEVATED DOWNWIND OF THE TERRAIN.
FIRE WEATHER...FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
DRY AND SEASONABLY COOL.
WINDS TURNING NORTHERLY ON FRIDAY, 10 TO 20 MPH, WITH HIGHER GUSTS
OVER APACHE COUNTY. WINDS ON SATURDAY WILL BE NORTHEASTERLY AT 10
TO 20 MPH, WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH..
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...DRY AND TURNING WARMER. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH ON SUNDAY, SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH ON MONDAY AND 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ON TUESDAY.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...LEWANDOWSKI
AVIATION...HUMPHREYS
FIRE WEATHER...PETERSON
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
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