486
FXUS65 KFGZ 222258
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
358 PM MST WED APR 22 2026
SYNOPSIS
DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH
FRIDAY. SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL SEE BREEZY AND COOLER WEATHER
WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AS WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE
BRUSHES ARIZONA.
DISCUSSION
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER ARIZONA TODAY WILL
HEAD TO THE EAST OF OUR AREA TONIGHT. LOOK FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS AT
15-25 MPH GUSTING TO 30-45 MPH TO CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING
BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT(THE HIGHER VALUES IN THE RANGES WILL
MAINLY BE OBSERVED FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM NORTHWARD). AS A RESULT,
A WIND ADVISORY AND RED FLAG WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT
INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT,
PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH FOR GUSTY WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM NORTHWARD WHERE WE'RE LOOK
AT WIND SPEEDS OF 10-20 MPH GUSTING TO AROUND 25 MPH.
FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...THE CURRENT TROUGH WILL HEAD EASTWARD.
AS A RESULT, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO MORE SOUTHWEST TO WEST DIRECTION
BECOMING LIGHTER AT 10-20 MPH GUSTING TO AROUND 25 MPH MOST
AREAS. LOOK FOR MAINLY SUNNY SKIES ON THURSDAY BUT SOME
ADDITIONAL CLOUDINESS WILL MOVE IN ON FRIDAY WITH A WEAK PASSING
DISTURBANCE. LITTLE CHANGE IN HIGH AND LOW TEMPERATURES.
FROM SATURDAY ONWARD...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SERIES OF WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES. NEAR
TO BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURES APPEAR ON TRACK AS A COOLER
AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN. THE BEST CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
APPEARS TO BE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY BUT WITH SUCH WEAK FEATURES
THIS IS APT TO CHANGE. IN ANY CASE, BREEZY DAYTIME WINDS EACH DAY.
AVIATION...THURSDAY 23/00Z THROUGH FRIDAY 24/00Z
VFR
CONDITIONS. WINDS SW 15-25 KTS WITH GUSTS 30-40 KTS THROUGH 03Z.
OVERNIGHT WINDS SUBSIDING TO 5-15 KTS, THEN BECOMING W/SW 10-20
KTS GUSTING TO 30 KTS AFTER 18Z.
OUTLOOK...FRIDAY 24/00Z THROUGH SUNDAY 26/00Z...VFR CONDITIONS.
WINDS ARE W/SW 10-20 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS ON FRIDAY, THEN
SW 10-20 KTS GUSTING 25-35 KTS ON SATURDAY.
FIRE WEATHER...THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
DRY CONDITIONS WITH SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES. WINDS WEST/SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
EACH DAY, ALONG WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH 10-20%.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS, OUTSIDE OF A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR HIGH-BASED SHOWERS LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30-40 MPH OVER THE WEEKEND, SUBSIDING TO
10-20 MPH ON MONDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH 15-30% FOR THE WEEKEND,
FALLING TO 10-20% ON MONDAY.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM MST /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR
AZZ004>007-009>017-039-040.
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM MST /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR
AZZ109>114-139-140.
PUBLIC...MCCOLLUM
AVIATION...LEWANDOWSKI
FIRE WEATHER...HUMPHREYS
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page