759
FXUS65 KFGZ 081732
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1032 AM MST FRI MAY 8 2026
SYNOPSIS
WARMER TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY,
REMAINING OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO
NEXT WEEK. WITH THAT WE WILL SEE WARMING TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS
RISING TO 10-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THE WARMTH LOOKS TO PEAK
BETWEEN SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE THE RIDGE STARTS TO SHIFT TO
THE EAST AND ALLOWING A SLIGHT COOL DOWN TO OCCUR (BUT STILL
REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL).
A WEAK SHORTWAVE LOOKS TO PASS THROUGH ON SATURDAY, CLIPPING THE
NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE STATE. MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED SO NOT
EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION. PERHAPS A FEW SPRINKLES
MAY REACH THE GROUND, BUT OTHERWISE IT WILL REMAIN TOO DRY AT THE
SURFACE AND REMAIN VIRGA.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST THROUGH SATURDAY
AND AROUND 10-20 MPH. THIS WAVE MOVING THROUGH ON SATURDAY WILL
BRIEFLY TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SO WE MAY SEE SOME SLIGHTLY
BREEZIER WINDS, PERHAPS A FEW GUSTS AROUND 25-30 MPH, THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.
AS WE HEAD TOWARDS MID WEEK, THE RIDGE SHIFTS TO THE EAST AS A WEAK
WAVE PASSES TO THE WEST. WINDS WILL BE MORE SOUTHERLY THROUGH
MIDWEEK WITH SOME ADDITIONAL MOISTURE BEING ADVECTED INTO THE AREA.
AN ISOLATED CHANCE FOR A HIGH-BASED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM MAY
OCCUR, MAINLY TUESDAY ONWARD ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
AVIATION...FRIDAY 08/18Z THROUGH SATURDAY 09/18Z
VFR
CONDITIONS, NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. WINDS W-NW 5-15KTS, GUSTS
TO 20KTS DAYTIME, LIGHT AND VARIABLE OR TERRAIN DRIVEN OVERNIGHT.
OUTLOOK...SATURDAY 09/18Z THROUGH MONDAY 11/18Z...VFR CONDITIONS,
NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. DAYTIME WINDS SATURDAY W-NW 10-20KTS,
GUSTS 25-30KTS. VARIABLE 5-15KTS SUNDAY.
FIRE WEATHER...TODAY AND SATURDAY
WARMER TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10-20 MPH EACH DAY.
MINIMUM RH BETWEEN 5-15% EACH AFTERNOON.
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE. A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED HIGH-BASED SHOWER NEAR THE WHITE MOUNTAINS ON
TUESDAY. VARIABLE WINDS AT 5-15 MPH ON SUNDAY, BECOMING SOUTH TO
WEST ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH 5-20% EACH DAY.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...MEOLA
AVIATION...BERNHART
FIRE WEATHER...MEOLA
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
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