204
FXUS65 KFGZ 090452
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
952 PM MST FRI MAY 8 2026
SYNOPSIS
WARMER TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MORE TYPICALLY FOUND DURING JUNE
WILL REMAIN FIRMLY IN CONTROL THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
THIS WILL LEAD TO TEMPERATURES 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE THIS
WEEKEND AND THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THE ONLY FEATURE OF NOTE
IS A SHORTWAVE BRUSHING THE AREA ON SATURDAY, HOWEVER THE ONLY
CONSEQUENCE IS SOME ELEVATED BREEZES OUT OF THE W-NW AT 10-20 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. ATMOSPHERE WILL BE VERY DRY AT ONLY ABOUT
5-15% DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE SAVING GRACE FROM ANY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER IS THE WINDS NOT BEING MORE ELEVATED THAN THEY ARE,
WITH WINDS SETTLING BACK DOWN SUNDAY THROUGH THE EARLY WEEK AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE GETS OUT OF HERE. ONE THING TO NOTE, WITH
THE AIR BEING SO DRY, DESPITE THE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES,
DIURNAL SWINGS WILL BE PRETTY HIGH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND
TEMPERATURES MAY STILL REACH THE FREEZING MARK IN SOME OF THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS SO YOU MAY NEED TO PROTECT SOME SENSITIVE
PLANTS IF YOU'VE ALREADY STARTED YOUR FLOWER OR VEGETABLE GARDENS.
ON WEDNESDAY ANOTHER SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE AREA AND TEMPORARILY
SHOVES THE RIDGE EASTWARD. MAIN THING FROM THIS FEATURE IS
TEMPERATURES DROPPING ABOUT 5-10 DEGREES FROM EARLY WEEK READINGS BUT
STILL REMAINING ABOVE MID MAY AVERAGE BY 5-10 DEGREES.
AVIATION...SATURDAY 09/06Z THROUGH SUNDAY 10/06Z
VFR CONDITIONS.
ISO -SHRA POSSIBLE 20Z-03Z, MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF A KGCN-KRQE
LINE. WINDS VRB 5-10 KTS OVERNIGHT, BECOMING W 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS
20-25 KTS AFTER 17Z.
OUTLOOK...SUNDAY 10/06Z THROUGH TUESDAY 12/06Z...VFR CONDITIONS WITH
VRB WINDS 5-10 KTS ON SUNDAY, BECOMING S-W ON MONDAY. ISO -SHRA
POSSIBLE INVOF KJTC MONDAY AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER...SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
WARMER TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING 10-15 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE. WINDS W-NW 10-20 MPH, GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ON SATURDAY.
VARIABLE WINDS 5-15 MPH ON SUNDAY. MINIMUM RH BETWEEN 5-15% EACH
AFTERNOON.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND
5-10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ON WEDNESDAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN
ISOLATED HIGH-BASED SHOWER NEAR THE WHITE MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOONS. WINDS S-W 5-10 MPH ON MONDAY, S-SW 5-10 MPH
TUESDAY, SW 10-20 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH 5-15%
MONDAY, 5-20% TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...BERNHART
AVIATION...HUMPHREYS
FIRE WEATHER...BERNHART
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page