995
FXUS65 KFGZ 100925
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
225 AM MST SUN MAY 10 2026
SYNOPSIS
WARM TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEK. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AROUND THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE VERY
WARM WITH HIGHS AROUND 10-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TUESDAY.
SOME SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR ARRIVES AROUND MIDWEEK BUT TEMPERATURES
WILL STILL REMAIN AROUND 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK.
AS WE HEAD TOWARDS MID WEEK, THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT EASTWARD AND A
SHORTWAVE MOVING ALONG THE OUTSIDE OF THE RIDGE. THIS WAVE WILL STAY
MOSTLY TO OUR WEST BEFORE CROSSING THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL
TURN MORE TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST, WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR DECENT
MOISTURE ADVECTION STARTING ON MONDAY. MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY
THROUGH MIDWEEK BUT SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS OR VIRGA ARE POSSIBLE,
ESPECIALLY NEAR THE WHITE MOUNTAINS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BY
WEDNESDAY, WE SHOULD HAVE ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND FOR ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN, WITH SOME ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS, TOO. QPF AMOUNTS CONTINUE TO LOOK VERY LIGHT.
THURSDAY AND BEYOND...BEHIND THE WAVE THE FLOW LOOKS TO BECOME MORE
ZONAL, THOUGH SOME MODELS SHOW A TROUGH DIPPING SOUTH ALONG THE
GREAT BASIN. FOR NOW IT LOOKS LIKE TEMPERATURES WILL COOL OF
SLIGHTLY, BUT REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH
DRY CONDITIONS RETURNING. EXPECT SOUTHWEST BREEZES TYPICAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR DURING EACH AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...SUNDAY 10/06Z THROUGH MONDAY 11/06Z
VFR CONDITIONS.
WINDS VRB 5-10 KTS OVERNIGHT, BECOMING NW-NE AFTER 15Z.
OUTLOOK...MONDAY 11/06Z THROUGH WEDNESDAY 13/06Z...VFR CONDITIONS.
WINDS VRB 5-10 KTS ON SUNDAY, BECOMING S/SW ON TUESDAY.
FIRE WEATHER...TODAY AND MONDAY
VERY WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. VARIABLE WINDS 5-15 MPH WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON
RH BETWEEN 5-15% EACH DAY.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WARM TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE NEAR THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY, THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ON WEDNESDAY. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5-15 MPH ON TUESDAY, INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 25-30 MPH ON WEDNESDAY, THEN BECOMING 10-20 MPH ON
THURSDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH BETWEEN 5-20% EACH DAY.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...MEOLA
AVIATION...HUMPHREYS
FIRE WEATHER...MEOLA
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
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