377  
FXUS65 KFGZ 110452  
AFDFGZ  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ  
952 PM MST SUN MAY 10 2026  
   
SYNOPSIS
 
WARM TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE  
THROUGH THE WEEK. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER  
TERRAIN AROUND THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER  
TEMPERATURES AND ENHANCED SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZES.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
VERY DRY CONDITIONS AND NORTHEAST WINDS DEVELOPED  
BEHIND THE WEAK S/WV FROM SATURDAY. THESE WINDS ARE COMING TO AN END  
THIS AFTERNOON AS UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FADES OUT, ALLOWING FOR STRONG  
SOLAR HEATING FOR THE REST OF TODAY.  
 
HIGH PRESSURE AMPLIFIES OVER EASTERN ARIZONA FOR THE REMAINDER OF  
THIS WEEKEND AND INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING  
VERY WARM TEMPERATURES THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF  
CLOUD COVER AS THE AIR MASS STABILIZES. SOME MID-LEVEL CU/SC MAY  
FORM AS EARLY AS TUESDAY, AHEAD OF ANOTHER S/WV DUE WEDNESDAY.  
 
A TROUGH ENTERS THE GREAT BASIN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS  
WILL ENHANCE OUR WINDS A LITTLE BIT AND DROP DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.  
HOWEVER, THIS WILL STILL BE A MAINLY DRY PATTERN AND TEMPERATURES  
WILL STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL.  
 
A MORE ZONAL, BUT WARM AND CONTINUED DRY PATTERN THEN DEVELOPS FOR  
THE END OF NEXT WEEK AND EVEN THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
AVIATION...MONDAY 11/06Z THROUGH TUESDAY 12/06Z
 
VFR CONDITIONS  
WITH VRB WINDS 5-10 KTS. LOCALLY BREEZY WINDS REMAIN DOWNWIND OF THE  
TERRAIN THROUGH 15Z.  
 
OUTLOOK...TUESDAY 12/06Z THROUGH THURSDAY 14/06Z...VFR CONDITIONS.  
WINDS S/SW 5-15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS ON TUESDAY, INCREASING  
TO 15-20 KTS WITH GUSTS 30-35 KTS ON WEDNESDAY.  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER...MONDAY AND TUESDAY
 
DRY CONDITIONS WITH DAYTIME  
TEMPERATURES 10-20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. VARIABLE WINDS 5-15 MPH  
MONDAY, AND S-SW 5-15 MPH ON TUESDAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH BETWEEN  
5-15% EACH DAY.  
 
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...DAYTIME TEMPERATURES COOL A FEW DEGREES  
BUT WILL STILL REMAIN 5 TO 10 DEGREE ABOVE AVERAGE. ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND/OR DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN  
ON WEDNESDAY, DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WINDS  
FROM SW-W 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25-30 MPH EACH DAY. MINIMUM  
AFTERNOON RH 10-20% WEDNESDAY, 5-15% THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.  
 

 
   
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
PUBLIC...PETERSON  
AVIATION...HUMPHREYS  
FIRE WEATHER...BERNHART  
 
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT  
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF  
 
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