354  
FNUS55 KFGZ 160840  
FWFFGZ  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ THIS  
MORNING TO 8 PM MST /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS  
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE COCONINO PLATEAU, YAVAPAI COUNTY  
MOUNTAINS, MOGOLLON RIM, LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY, AND  
WEST-CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE NAVAJO NATION IN ARIZONA....  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ TO 8 PM  
MST /9 PM MDT/ SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY FOR THE KAIABAB PLATEAU, GRAND CANYON COUNTRY, MARBLE AND  
GLEN CANYONS, EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM, WHITE MOUNTAINS, LITTLE  
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY, AND THE NAVAJO NATION IN ARIZONA...  
 
+++ THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS +++  
 
+++ 20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF 'LIGHT WINDS' INDICATES MAINLY  
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS +++  
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++  
   
DISCUSSION...TODAY AND SUNDAY  
A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT  
FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA BOTH DAYS. FOR TODAY, EXPECT SW  
WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS 30-40 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY 8-17%. ON  
SUNDAY, RELATIVE HUMIDITY INCREASES TO 10-24% AHEAD OF AN  
APPROACHING LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM, BUT SW WINDS INCREASE TO 20-30 MPH  
WITH GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH. A 10-40% CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS FORECAST  
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING ALONG THE ARIZONA/UTAH  
BORDER, BUT THE PROBABILITY OF A WETTING RAINFALL (> 0.1") IS LESS  
THAN 30%.  
 
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY....TEMPERATURES REMAIN COOL ON MONDAY AND  
TUESDAY AT 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE BEFORE RECOVERING CLOSER TO  
AVERAGE ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL BE W-NW 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS 25-35  
MPH ON MONDAY, BECOMING SW-W 10-20 MPH ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE 10-20% MONDAY, 8-15% TUESDAY AND  
WEDNESDAY.  
 
AZZ115-170130-  
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLAGSTAFF, WILLIAMS, AND MUNDS PARK  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST  
THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-80.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING  
TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 25 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENTILATION.....EXCELLENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-40.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65-85 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
25 MPH.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-75.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP  
TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 40 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 45  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 KNOTS INCREASING TO AROUND 35  
KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENTILATION.....EXCELLENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 58 TO 68. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO  
20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 63 TO 73. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
WEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 68 TO 78. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ106-170130-  
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GRAND CANYON VILLAGE, TUSAYAN, SUPAI,  
AND GRAND CANYON NORTH RIM  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST  
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-93 AT THE RIVER...71-81 AT THE RIM.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PERCENT AT THE RIVER...12 PERCENT AT THE RIM.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 35  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11400 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO AROUND  
25 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENTILATION.....EXCELLENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-61 AT THE RIVER...42-52 AT THE RIM.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT AT THE RIVER...27-37 PERCENT AT  
THE RIM.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
FREE WINDS..........WEST 25 TO 35 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-89 AT THE RIVER...67-77 AT THE RIM.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT AT THE RIVER...12-17 PERCENT AT THE  
RIM.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 45  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS INCREASING TO AROUND  
35 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENTILATION.....EXCELLENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 67 TO 77. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.    
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. HIGHS 74 TO 84. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST  
AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
CLEAR. HIGHS 79 TO 89. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST  
AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ108-170130-  
YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PRESCOTT, SELIGMAN, ASH FORK,  
AND CROWN KING  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST  
THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77 BELOW 5000 FEET...AROUND 72 ABOVE  
5000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 20 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENTILATION.....EXCELLENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-53.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........39-59 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72 BELOW 5000 FEET...AROUND 68 ABOVE  
5000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP  
TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25  
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 45  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO AROUND 30  
KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENTILATION.....EXCELLENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 64 TO 73. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 70 TO 78. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 75 TO 82. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ137-170130-  
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF COTTONWOOD, CAMP VERDE, CORDES JUNCTION,  
AND BAGDAD  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-91.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-56.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........38-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-87.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 40  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 72 TO 82. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 78 TO 88. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 83 TO 93. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ138-170130-  
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEDONA AND VILLAGE OF OAK CREEK  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-84 BELOW 5000 FEET...72-82 ABOVE 5000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO  
20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-59 BELOW 5000 FEET...45-55 ABOVE 5000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........25-45 PERCENT BELOW 5000 FEET...34-54 PERCENT  
ABOVE 5000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-79 BELOW 5000 FEET...68-78 ABOVE 5000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 40  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 65 TO 75. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 70 TO 80. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 76 TO 86. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
 
 
 
AZZ105-170130-  
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PAGE AND LEES FERRY  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026 /240 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026/  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ TO 8 PM  
MST /9 PM MDT/ SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-90.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-61.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........23-33 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
FREE WINDS..........WEST 25 TO 35 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-85.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........11 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 45  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 65 TO 73. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.    
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. HIGHS 69 TO 79. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
CLEAR. HIGHS 75 TO 84. LIGHT WINDS.  
 
 
 
AZZ104-170130-  
KAIBAB PLATEAU-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF JACOB LAKE AND FREDONIA  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST  
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-85 BELOW 7000 FEET...67-76 ABOVE 7000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........11 PERCENT BELOW 7000 FEET...14 PERCENT ABOVE  
7000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
30 MPH.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-55 BELOW 7000 FEET...40-49 ABOVE 7000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........32-42 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25  
MPH IN THE EVENING.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-80 BELOW 7000 FEET...62-70 ABOVE 7000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT BELOW 7000 FEET...16 PERCENT ABOVE  
7000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 35 TO 45 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 58 TO 68. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. HIGHS 65 TO 75. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST  
AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
CLEAR. HIGHS 70 TO 80. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ107-170130-  
COCONINO PLATEAU-  
INCLUDING THE CITY OF VALLE  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026 /240 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026/  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ THIS  
MORNING TO 8 PM MST /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS  
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-79 ON THE PLATEAU...86-94 AT THE RIVER.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT ON THE PLATEAU...10 PERCENT AT THE  
RIVER.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25  
MPH INCREASING TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-51 ON THE PLATEAU...54-63 AT THE RIVER.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........40-60 PERCENT ON THE PLATEAU...23-33 PERCENT AT  
THE RIVER.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-75 ON THE PLATEAU...81-90 AT THE RIVER.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT ON THE PLATEAU...11 PERCENT AT THE  
RIVER.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS  
UP TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 40 TO 50  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 60 TO 70. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. HIGHS 67 TO 77. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST  
AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 72 TO 81. EAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ109-170130-  
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF KEAMS CANYON AND KAIBITO  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST  
THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST  
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-85.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20  
MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-51.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........33-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25  
MPH IN THE EVENING.  
FREE WINDS..........WEST 25 TO 35 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-80.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 40  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 59 TO 68. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 25 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. HIGHS 65 TO 73. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND  
10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 71 TO 78. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ140-170130-  
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DILKON AND KYKOTSMOVI  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026 /240 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026/  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ THIS  
MORNING TO 8 PM MST /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS  
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ TO 8 PM  
MST /9 PM MDT/ SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-85.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-50.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........29-49 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
25 MPH.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 25  
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-80.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 40  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 64 TO 72. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO  
20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.   
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 69 TO 76. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 73 TO 80. EAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ110-170130-  
CHINLE VALLEY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CANYON DE CHELLY, CHINLE, AND KAYENTA  
240 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT DUE  
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-86.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20  
MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-54.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........27-47 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30  
MPH IN THE EVENING.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH BECOMING WEST 20 TO 30  
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-81.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........11 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 40  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN  
CLEARING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS 60 TO 67. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO  
15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 66 TO 72. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 71 TO 77. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ111-170130-  
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF WINDOW ROCK AND GANADO  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026 /240 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026/  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ TO 8 PM  
MST /9 PM MDT/ SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-82.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15  
TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10400 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS INCREASING TO AROUND  
20 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENTILATION.....EXCELLENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-52.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........29-49 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
25 MPH.  
FREE WINDS..........WEST 30 TO 40 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-76.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 45  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8800 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS INCREASING TO AROUND  
35 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENTILATION.....EXCELLENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
58 TO 68. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 62 TO 72. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 66 TO 76. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ139-170130-  
BLACK MESA AREA-  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026 /240 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026/  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ THIS  
MORNING TO 8 PM MST /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS  
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ TO 8 PM  
MST /9 PM MDT/ SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-80.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........11 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-53.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........28-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30  
MPH IN THE EVENING.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH BECOMING WEST 20 TO 30  
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-75.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP  
TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 40 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 40  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
55 TO 64. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.    
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. HIGHS 60 TO 69. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 67 TO 74. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ112-170130-  
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF WUPATKI NATIONAL MONUMENT AND TUBA CITY  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026 /240 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026/  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ THIS  
MORNING TO 8 PM MST /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS  
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ TO 8 PM  
MST /9 PM MDT/ SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY SMOKE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-90.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-53.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........33-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
25 MPH.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH BECOMING WEST 15 TO 25  
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY BLOWING DUST IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-85.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
UP TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 45  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 68 TO 75. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 72 TO 79. LIGHT WINDS.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 76 TO 83. NORTH WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ113-170130-  
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF WINSLOW, HOLBROOK, AND SNOWFLAKE  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026 /240 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026/  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ THIS  
MORNING TO 8 PM MST /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS  
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ TO 8 PM  
MST /9 PM MDT/ SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-86.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........8 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 35  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS INCREASING TO AROUND  
20 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENTILATION.....EXCELLENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........31-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
25 MPH.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 25  
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY BLOWING DUST IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-81.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP  
TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 40 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 40 TO 50  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8300 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 KNOTS INCREASING TO AROUND  
30 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENTILATION.....EXCELLENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 68 TO 74. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO  
20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 72 TO 77. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 76 TO 81. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ114-170130-  
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ST. JOHNS AND SPRINGERVILLE  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026 /240 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026/  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ THIS  
MORNING TO 8 PM MST /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS  
AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /NOON MDT/ TO 8 PM  
MST /9 PM MDT/ SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-85.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........8 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15  
TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51 BELOW 7000 FEET...43-49 ABOVE 7000  
FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........26-46 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
25 MPH.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-80.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........11 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 45  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 66 TO 73. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 71 TO 78. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 74 TO 80. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
WEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ116-170130-  
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HEBER, HAPPY JACK, AND FOREST LAKES  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MST  
THIS EVENING DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST  
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-82 BELOW 5000 FEET...70-80 ABOVE 5000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
20 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP  
TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 35  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-49.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........53-73 PERCENT BELOW 5000 FEET...45-65 PERCENT  
ABOVE 5000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-77 BELOW 5000 FEET...65-75 ABOVE 5000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 40 TO 50  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 59 TO 69. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 65 TO 74. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 69 TO 79. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ117-170130-  
WHITE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SHOW LOW, GREER, AND PINETOP  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST  
DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-81 BELOW 7000 FEET...66-76 ABOVE 7000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 20 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENTILATION.....EXCELLENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-52 BELOW 7000 FEET...36-46 ABOVE 7000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........30-50 PERCENT BELOW 7000 FEET...38-58 PERCENT  
ABOVE 7000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25  
MPH IN THE EVENING.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-76 BELOW 7000 FEET...61-71 ABOVE 7000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
UP TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 45  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 30 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENTILATION.....EXCELLENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
CLEAR. HIGHS 61 TO 71. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 65 TO 75. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 69 TO 79. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
 
AZZ118-170130-  
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PAYSON, STRAWBERRY, AND YOUNG  
140 AM MST SAT MAY 16 2026  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-91 BELOW 5000 FEET...73-83 ABOVE 5000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-58 BELOW 5000 FEET...40-50 ABOVE 5000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........31-51 PERCENT BELOW 5000 FEET...50-70 PERCENT  
ABOVE 5000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
20 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-86 BELOW 5000 FEET...69-79 ABOVE 5000 FEET.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
FREE WINDS..........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 45  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
POP.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 69 TO 79. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS 75 TO 85. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 79 TO 89. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
   
6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR MAY 21 - 25 2026  
 
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION.  
 
=  
 
 
VENTILATION...TRANSPORT WIND AND MIXING HEIGHT ARE BASED  
ON THE FOLLOWING POINTS.  
 
ZONE 115...WILLIAMS.......6750 FT MSL.  
ZONE 106...TUSAYAN........6606 FT MSL.  
ZONE 108...PRESCOTT.......5052 FT MSL.  
ZONE 111...WINDOW ROCK....6739 FT MSL.  
ZONE 113...WINSLOW........4883 FT MSL.  
ZONE 117...WHITERIVER.....5225 FT MSL.  
 
VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA  
ESTABLISHED BY EACH STATE.  
 
 
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