425
FXUS65 KFGZ 311122
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
422 AM MST SUN MAY 31 2026
SYNOPSIS
WARMING TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED
FOR THE REST OF THIS WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. MOST AREAS WILL
REMAIN DRY, BUT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE BY
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, MAINLY FOR SOUTHERN NAVAJO AND APACHE
COUNTIES.
DISCUSSION
DRY AND RELATIVELY STABLE WESTERLY ALOFT, ALONG WITH
RISING HGHTS, WILL DEFINE MUCH OF THE UPCOMING FORECAST PERIOD. THIS
MEANS A WARMING TREND, WITH TEMPERATURES RISING TO AROUND NORMAL AND
THEN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. DAYTIME WINDS WILL STAY
IN THE NORMAL, DIURNAL RANGE, NOTHING THAT WILL BRING ANY IMPACTS.
AS FAR AS MOISTURE, AS WE STATED, THINGS ARE PRETTY DRY. HOWEVER, WE
EXPECT HGHTS TO RISE ENOUGH BY WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY THAT SOME MOISTURE
MAY SNEAK IN UNDER THE RIDGE FROM THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST. THIS COULD
LEAD TO SOME CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, BUT EVEN THAT POSSIBILITY WILL BE
SHORT-LIVED, AS DRY WESTERLIES MOVE BACK INTO THE FORECAST BY NEXT
WEEKEND.
AVIATION...SUNDAY 31/12Z THROUGH MONDAY 01/12Z
EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS. DAYTIME SFC WINDS S-SW10-20KTS.
OUTLOOK...MONDAY 01/12Z THROUGH WEDNESDAY 03/12Z...EXPECT MAINLY VFR
CONDITIONS. DAYTIME SFC WINDS SW10-20KTS. ISOLD-SCT -SHRA/-TSRA OVER
SOUTHERN APACHE COUNTY BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER...SUNDAY AND MONDAY
DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING
TREND. EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH EACH AFTERNOON.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY, MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN NAVAJO AND APACHE
COUNTIES. SURFACE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY FOR MOST AREAS, BUT
HIGHER DEW POINTS WILL BE FOUND NEAR THE SHOWER ACTIVITY. EXPECT
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH EACH AFTERNOON.
FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
PUBLIC...PETERSON
AVIATION...PETERSON
FIRE WEATHER...PETERSON
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
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