551  
FNUS75 KFGZ 100405  
FWSFGZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WEAVER FIRE...AZ DFFM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ  
905 PM MST SUN AUG 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 MST ON AUGUST 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF, AZ  
   
DISCUSSION
 
FOR TONIGHT, THERE IS 25% CHANCE FOR A LINE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS TO PASS THE FIRE ROUGHLY BETWEEN 2100 AND 0100 MST. IF  
THESE STORMS DUE IMPACT THE FIRE, OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 25-35 MPH  
ARE POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN.  
INCREASING MONSOON MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO HIGHER CHANCES FOR SHOWER AND  
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TOMORROW AND TUESDAY. SOME STORMS WILL PRODUCE  
HEAVY RAINFALL, SO FLASH FLOODING AND WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL BE THE  
PRIMARY HAZARDS FOR ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM IN THE AREA. YOU WILL WANT  
TO MONITOR FOR A NORTHWEST WIND SHIFT TOMORROW AFTERNOON DUE TO  
STORMS/OUTFLOWS DROPPING OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AND MOVING ACROSS  
YAVAPAI COUNTY.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A  
25% CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN  
2100 AND 0100 MST.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......25 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....69-73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........60-64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........OUTSIDE OF STORM ACTIVITY, DOWN DRAINAGE  
WINDS 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR.  
CLEARING INDEX......2.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 KNOTS.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY, BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40%  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100 MST.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT IN THE MORNING, INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT  
AFTER 1100 MST.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....10 PERCENT IN THE MORNING, INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT  
AFTER 1100 MST.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29-33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........DOWN DRAINAGE WINDS 3-6 MPH THROUGH 1100. AFTER  
1100, WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON, WITH THE  
POTENTIAL FOR A NORTHEAST WIND SHIFT DUE TO OUTFLOWS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD.  
CLEARING INDEX......880.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 11200 FT AGL LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40% CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE EVENING, BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20%  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-71.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73-77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........OUTSIDE OF STORM ACTIVITY, DOWN DRAINAGE WINDS 3-6 MPH.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR.  
CLEARING INDEX......2.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUD WITH A 50% CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
CHANCE LIGHTNING....40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38-42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD.  
CLEARING INDEX......470.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
A WEATHER FORECAST TABLE FOR YOUR SPOT LOCATION IS LINKED.  
THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY THIS SITE IS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY  
AND IS NOT INTENDED TO SUBSTITUTE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY AN OFFICIAL  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOT FORECAST.  
HTTPS://WEATHER.GOV/DLH/FWD?LAT=34.3423&LON=-112.8334&CLAT=34.3423&CLON=-112.8334  
 

 
FORECASTER...RICKEY  
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN GIFFORD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2619344.0/FGZ  
.DELDT 08/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KGIFFORD@BULLHEADFIRE.ORG  
 
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