756
FXUS64 KFWD 042317
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
517 PM CST THU DEC 4 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAIN IS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS ON FRIDAY
WITH CHANCES OF 20%. NO RAIN IS ANTICIPATED FROM SATURDAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY,
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1109 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS WHAT'S LEFT OF THIS MORNING'S RAIN AND
DRIZZLE CONTINUES TO SHIFT QUICKLY EASTWARD OUT OF THE AREA, WITH
ALL PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO BE GONE BY 19Z IF NOT SOONER. IN ITS
WAKE, COLD AND CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THE REST OF TODAY
INTO TONIGHT WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 40S THIS AFTERNOON AND LOWS
DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 20S AND 30S. SOME PATCHY FOG COULD OCCUR
OVERNIGHT AS A 1021MB SURFACE HIGH SETTLES OVER THE HILL COUNTRY,
GIVING US LIGHT WINDS AND LOW DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. HOWEVER,
EXTENSIVE AND THICK CLOUD COVER SHOULD KEEP ANY FOG FROM BECOMING
WIDESPREAD.
ANOTHER WAVE OF LIGHT RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS ON FRIDAY MORNING AS A SECONDARY POSITIVE TILT H5 TROUGH
APPROACHES FROM NORTHERN MEXICO. SOME OF THIS LIGHT RAIN MAY
SPREAD INTO OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES LATE FRIDAY MORNING INTO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON PER 12Z GUIDANCE, ALTHOUGH BULK OF ANY RAIN WILL STAY
OFF TO OUR SOUTH. DESPITE ANY LIGHT RAIN, HIGHS SHOULD BE MUCH
WARMER ON FRIDAY THAN TODAY THANKS TO SOUTHERLY WINDS, REACHING
THE 50S TO LOW 60S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1109 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
A LENGTHY DRY AND QUIET PERIOD OF WEATHER IS EXPECTED FROM FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH ALL OF NEXT WEEK AS OUR REGION WILL REMAIN
DOMINATED BY DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND WITH LOWS IN THE
30S/40S AND HIGHS IN THE 50S/60S. A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH ON
SUNDAY WILL KNOCK TEMPS BACK DOWN FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY,
WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S AND HIGHS IN THE 50S. A
WARMUP BEGINS ON TUESDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE REST OF NEXT
WEEK AS SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN, BOOSTING TEMPS ABOVE NORMAL WITH
HIGHS UP INTO THE 60S/70S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 505 PM CST THU DEC 4 2025
POST-FRONTAL MVFR STRATUS AT 1000-2000 FT WILL REMAIN ANCHORED
ACROSS THE TAF SITES THROUGH AT LEAST 06Z BEFORE GRADUALLY
SCATTERING TO VFR BETWEEN 06-10Z. A NORTH WIND AT 5-10 KTS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD AS WELL, BEFORE WINDS RETURN TO
LIGHT SOUTHERLY AFTER 10Z TOMORROW MORNING. VFR SKIES WITH BKN/OVC
CIRRUS WILL THEN PREVAIL THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAYTIME.
ADDITIONAL FOG AND LOW STRATUS WILL ARRIVE AROUND OR AFTER 06Z
SATURDAY MORNING, JUST BEYOND THE CURRENT EXTENDED DFW TAF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 45 34 53 40 / 40 0 0 0
WACO 49 37 52 41 / 40 0 10 0
PARIS 44 31 50 35 / 40 0 0 0
DENTON 44 29 54 34 / 40 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 44 31 52 36 / 40 0 0 0
DALLAS 47 35 54 41 / 40 0 0 0
TERRELL 46 32 52 39 / 40 0 0 0
CORSICANA 49 37 53 43 / 50 0 10 10
TEMPLE 50 37 52 41 / 30 0 20 0
MINERAL WELLS 47 31 60 36 / 20 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SHAMBURGER
LONG TERM....SHAMBURGER
AVIATION...STALLEY
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