482
FXUS64 KFWD 052303
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
503 PM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTH AND EAST TEXAS
TONIGHT, REDUCING VISIBILITY TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG MAY DEVELOP SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
- NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY,
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
A POTENT JET STREAM REMAINS POSITIONED ATOP NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS WITH WIND SPEEDS EXCEEDING 140 MPH 25,000 FEET ABOVE US.
THIS IS LEADING TO A CONTINUED STREAM OF ELEVATED PACIFIC
MOISTURE, BRINGING NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS FILTERED SUNSHINE.
AS WE PROGRESS THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY, THE ELEVATED MOISTURE
WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN END, LEAVING COOL CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE NIGHT. TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE 30S ACROSS
NORTH TEXAS WITH LOWER 40S IN CENTRAL TEXAS.
A SUBTLE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MIGRATE EASTWARD OUT OF WEST
TEXAS OVERNIGHT, HELPING TO DRAW MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS. THE INCREASING MOISTURE ATOP THE COOL SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF FOG THROUGH MUCH OF
NORTH TEXAS. THERE IS GOOD CONSENSUS IN THE GUIDANCE THAT
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG WILL IMPACT THE REGION, THEREFORE, A DENSE
FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SATURDAY MORNING. VISIBILITY OF
1/4 MILE OR LESS WILL BECOME A HAZARD TO MOTORISTS, THEREFORE,
MAKE SURE TO DRIVE SLOW TOMORROW MORNING!
THE FOG WILL GRADUALLY ERODE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS, LEAVING
BEHIND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES
TOMORROW WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 50S ALONG THE RED RIVER TO THE
LOWER 70S IN CENTRAL TEXAS.
A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT, KEEPING THE COOL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE FOR SUNDAY ACROSS
NORTH TEXAS. SATURDAY NIGHT'S COLD FRONT WILL HAVE A BIGGER IMPACT
IN CENTRAL TEXAS AS HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL REMAIN IN THE 60S IN
CENTRAL TEXAS.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
ALTHOUGH THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACTIVE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS, MOISTURE CONTENT WILL BE LACKING THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. THE FORECAST WILL
REMAIN PRECIPITATION-FREE WITH A WARMING TREND GOING INTO THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. BY WEDNESDAY, HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 60S AND 70S
ACROSS THE REGION, WHICH IS ROUGHLY 9-12 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT LOOKS PROBABLE A WEEK FROM TODAY, USHERING IN
TEMPERATURES MUCH CLOSER TO NORMAL. PRECIPITATION, HOWEVER,
REMAINS UNLIKELY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 501 PM CST FRI DEC 5 2025
WIDESPREAD FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH TEXAS
TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY AFTER 09Z. EXPECT VISIBILITIES AS LOW AS 1/4
MILE AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE CONDITIONS
GRADUALLY IMPROVE BETWEEN 14-18Z. FOG MAY MIX INTO A LOW STRATUS
DECK BRIEFLY AROUND MIDDAY BEFORE SCATTERING TO VFR FOR THE
AFTERNOON. FOR WACO, THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG IS LESS LIKELY WITH
PATCHIER COVERAGE EXPECTED FARTHER SOUTH, AND INTERMITTENT
CATEGORY REDUCTIONS MAY INSTEAD BE DUE TO VERY LOW STRATUS AT
300-500 FT RATHER THAN REDUCED VISIBILITIES. ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG
APPEARS LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING, JUST BEYOND THE
CURRENT EXTENDED DFW TAF PERIOD. A SOUTH WIND AT 5-10 KTS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THIS FORECAST CYCLE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 39 58 43 59 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 43 67 47 62 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 34 55 40 56 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 34 57 38 57 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 36 57 41 57 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 40 59 44 60 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 38 60 43 60 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 43 65 47 63 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 42 70 47 65 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 36 64 40 62 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM CST SATURDAY FOR
TXZ091>095-100>107-116>120-123.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....HERNANDEZ
AVIATION...STALLEY
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