260
FXUS64 KFWD 070621
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1221 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- AREAS OF FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP AND LINGER THROUGH
MIDDAY SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS MORNING WITH
BREEZY NORTH WINDS AND COOLER AIR BEHIND IT.
- NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY,
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF LOW CLOUDS TO OUR
NORTH AND TO OUR SOUTH WITH MOST OF CENTRAL AND NORTH TEXAS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES AT THIS HOUR. SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG HAS DEVELOPED
MAINLY NORTH OF I-20, BUT THIS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AT THE SURFACE, A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR ABILENE WITH WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS
OUR REGION. THIS IS HELPING TO MAINTAIN LOW TO MID 40S DEWPOINTS
AS TEMPERATURES FALL UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. THIS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO PROMOTE SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE LATE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. MEANWHILE, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS SWINGING OUT OF
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS AND WILL EVENTUALLY SEND A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL
INITIALLY BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH PRIOR TO SUNRISE AS THE
SURFACE LOW MOVES OFF TO THE EAST. AS THESE WINDS TURN MORE
NORTHERLY, THE BANK OF LOW CLOUDS TO THE NORTH SHOULD EXPAND IN
COVERAGE AND SPREAD SOUTH THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE MORNING
ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE UPPER DISTURBANCE CONTINUES EASTWARD,
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE IN SPEED AND BECOME BREEZY BY
MIDDAY. THIS SHOULD DRAG SOME DRIER AIR INTO NORTH TEXAS AND WILL
QUICKLY ERODE THE LOW CLOUDS AND ANY LINGERING FOG. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY MANAGE TO REACH INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S,
BUT BRISK NORTH WINDS WILL MAKE IT FEEL QUITE A BIT COOLER THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON.
CLEAR SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS WILL RESULT IN A COLD NIGHT
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20S ACROSS OUR NORTH AND
NORTHWEST COUNTIES. LOWER 30S ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. MONDAY WILL
BE SUNNY AND COOL WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S.
DUNN
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL FEATURE STEADILY WARMING TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THURSDAY AS MID LEVEL RIDGING EXPANDS TO OUR WEST. HIGHS
WILL CLIMB INTO THE 60S ON TUESDAY AND MAY APPROACH 80 DEGREES
ACROSS PARTS OF OUR CENTRAL TX COUNTIES BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AN
AMPLIFYING TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WILL SEND A STRONG COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE THURSDAY WITH MUCH COLDER
AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. HIGHS WILL
STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE 40S IN SOME AREAS WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE LOW TO MID 20S EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THROUGH THE WEEK.
DUNN
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
VFR PREVAILS AT THE MAJOR AIRPORTS AT THIS HOUR, BUT WIDESPREAD
FOG AND LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO OVERTAKE MUCH OF THE REGION
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. WE'LL SHOW DETERIORATING CONDITIONS
BY 10Z WITH BKN004 CIGS SPREADING IN FROM THE NORTH ALONG WITH
SOME REDUCED VISIBILITY. WHILE VISIBILITY HAS DROPPED TO LESS THAN
1 MILE IN AREAS TO THE NORTH OF DFW...LOW CLOUDS MAY BE THE MAIN
CONCERN THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS. WE'LL CARRY A TEMPO FOR 1SM
VIS BUT HAVE OVC003 CIGS IN PLACE. IFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH LATE MORNING BEFORE RAPID CLEARING TAKES PLACE
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTH AROUND 10Z AHEAD OF THE
STRONGER PUSH OF COOLER AIR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. NORTH WINDS
WILL INCREASE IN SPEED BY MID MORNING AND BECOME GUSTY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. VFR IS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
DUNN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 53 43 56 33 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 66 48 61 34 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 49 40 54 30 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 49 38 56 27 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 53 41 55 29 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 55 44 58 33 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 56 43 57 31 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 63 48 61 35 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 70 47 63 34 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 56 40 59 29 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CST SUNDAY FOR TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>121-123-129>131-133-134.
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