128
FXUS64 KFWD 071118
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
518 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL LINGER THROUGH MID MORNING. A COLD FRONT
IS MOVING THROUGH NORTH TEXAS AND NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE AND
BECOME BREEZY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
- NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY,
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF LOW CLOUDS TO OUR
NORTH AND TO OUR SOUTH WITH MOST OF CENTRAL AND NORTH TEXAS UNDER
CLEAR SKIES AT THIS HOUR. SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG HAS DEVELOPED
MAINLY NORTH OF I-20, BUT THIS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AT THE SURFACE, A WEAK AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS CENTERED NEAR ABILENE WITH WEAK SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS
OUR REGION. THIS IS HELPING TO MAINTAIN LOW TO MID 40S DEWPOINTS
AS TEMPERATURES FALL UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. THIS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO PROMOTE SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE LATE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. MEANWHILE, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS SWINGING OUT OF
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS AND WILL EVENTUALLY SEND A
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION LATER THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL
INITIALLY BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH PRIOR TO SUNRISE AS THE
SURFACE LOW MOVES OFF TO THE EAST. AS THESE WINDS TURN MORE
NORTHERLY, THE BANK OF LOW CLOUDS TO THE NORTH SHOULD EXPAND IN
COVERAGE AND SPREAD SOUTH THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE MORNING
ACROSS THE REGION. AS THE UPPER DISTURBANCE CONTINUES EASTWARD,
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE IN SPEED AND BECOME BREEZY BY
MIDDAY. THIS SHOULD DRAG SOME DRIER AIR INTO NORTH TEXAS AND WILL
QUICKLY ERODE THE LOW CLOUDS AND ANY LINGERING FOG. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY MANAGE TO REACH INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S,
BUT BRISK NORTH WINDS WILL MAKE IT FEEL QUITE A BIT COOLER THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON.
CLEAR SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS WILL RESULT IN A COLD NIGHT
SUNDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20S ACROSS OUR NORTH AND
NORTHWEST COUNTIES. LOWER 30S ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. MONDAY WILL
BE SUNNY AND COOL WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S.
DUNN
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL FEATURE STEADILY WARMING TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THURSDAY AS MID LEVEL RIDGING EXPANDS TO OUR WEST. HIGHS
WILL CLIMB INTO THE 60S ON TUESDAY AND MAY APPROACH 80 DEGREES
ACROSS PARTS OF OUR CENTRAL TX COUNTIES BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AN
AMPLIFYING TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WILL SEND A STRONG COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE THURSDAY WITH MUCH COLDER
AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. HIGHS WILL
STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE 40S IN SOME AREAS WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE LOW TO MID 20S EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THROUGH THE WEEK.
DUNN
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 513 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
WIDESPREAD LIFR CIGS/VIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING BEFORE
VISIBILITIES START TO IMPROVE. MOST SITES IN THE D10 AIRSPACE ARE
AT 1/4 TO 1/2SM WITH VV002 AND THIS IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH
ABOUT 15Z. WE'LL SEE SOME GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT THROUGH LATE MORNING
BEFORE A PUSH OF DRIER AIR REALLY SURGES SOUTHWARD INTO THE
AFTERNOON. NORTH WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY LATER THIS MORNING INTO
THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. VFR IS EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.
DUNN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 56 33 53 36 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 59 35 54 35 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 53 31 51 32 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 55 28 53 32 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 54 30 52 34 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 57 34 54 37 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 57 31 53 33 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 60 36 55 36 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 61 34 58 34 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 59 29 59 34 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>121-123-129>131-133-134.
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