546
FXUS64 KFWD 080520
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1120 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- CLOUDS WILL LINGER INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ACROSS OUR FAR
EASTERN COUNTIES. OTHERWISE, COOL WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH A WARMUP THROUGH THURSDAY.
- THE NEXT STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON FRIDAY AND
WILL BRING ANOTHER SHOT OF COLDER AIR FOR NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SETTLE IN ACROSS NORTH TEXAS LATE THIS
EVENING BEHIND YESTERDAY'S COLD FRONT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH
WILL DIMINISH AND BECOME LIGHT CLOSER TO MORNING. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AROUND 925 MB EAST OF I-35 AND THIS
RESULTING IN EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUD COVER. PERSISTENT ISENTROPIC
DOWNGLIDE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS SHOULD WORK TO ERODE MUCH OF
THESE CLOUDS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS LEAVING BEHIND MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. THERE IS SOME VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FOG
ACROSS OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST COUNTIES CLOSER TO MORNING AS
DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S AND TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY FALL TO THE DEWPOINT BY THIS TIME. WE'LL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS POTENTIAL AS TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING COULD RESULT
IN SOME PATCHY FREEZING FOG. OTHERWISE, IT'LL BE A NICE BUT COOL
DAY MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND A LIGHT NORTH WIND. THE
PLEASANT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY WITH A SLIGHT WARMUP
INTO THE 60S AND A RETURN TO LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS.
DUNN
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
THE EXTENDED FORECAST CONTINUES TO LOOK FAIRLY QUIET THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER
70S BENEATH DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. A STRONG LATE WEEK SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL SWING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY AND WILL USHER
A FAIRLY STRONG COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS. THIS
FRONT WILL LIKELY MOVE THROUGH NORTH TEXAS ON FRIDAY WITH BRISK
NORTH WINDS AND COLDER AIR SPILLING SOUTHWARD. THE FRONT LOOKS
LIKE IT WILL COME THROUGH DRY, BUT THE LATEST GUIDANCE POINTS TO
AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE KICKING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST U.S. OVER THE
WEEKEND. WITH AMPLE MOISTURE ABOVE THE SHALLOW COLDER AIR, MODEST
ISENTROPIC ASCENT WOULD LIKELY LEAD TO AT LEAST SOME LIGHT RAIN
OVER THE WEEKEND. AT THIS TIME, WE'LL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY, BUT
CONTINUE TO MONITOR OVER THE COMING DAYS.
DUNN
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
VFR PREVAILS ACROSS THE D10 AIRSPACE THIS EVENING BUT MVFR CIGS
REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS PARTS OF EAST TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA. WHILE
THERE MAY BE SOME LOW POTENTIAL FOR THESE TO TRY TO PUSH SOUTHWARD
INTO THE AREA, WE'LL GO AHEAD AND REMOVE THE TEMPO FOR BKN CIGS
THROUGH 9Z. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 KT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY
WITH A RETURN TO LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW MONDAY EVENING. OUTSIDE OF
WATCHING THESE LOWER CLOUDS LATE TONIGHT, VFR SHOULD PREVAIL
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DUNN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 53 33 53 37 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 52 32 55 35 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 51 32 50 32 / 10 0 0 0
DENTON 54 29 53 33 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 52 31 52 34 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 53 34 54 38 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 52 32 53 33 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 59 33 55 36 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 54 34 57 34 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 56 31 58 34 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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