450
FXUS64 KFWD 081127
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
527 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- CLOUDS WILL LINGER INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ACROSS OUR FAR
EASTERN COUNTIES. OTHERWISE, COOL WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
TUESDAY WITH A WARMUP THROUGH THURSDAY.
- THE NEXT STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON FRIDAY AND
WILL BRING ANOTHER SHOT OF COLDER AIR FOR NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SETTLE IN ACROSS NORTH TEXAS LATE THIS
EVENING BEHIND YESTERDAY'S COLD FRONT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH
WILL DIMINISH AND BECOME LIGHT CLOSER TO MORNING. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AROUND 925 MB EAST OF I-35 AND THIS
RESULTING IN EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUD COVER. PERSISTENT ISENTROPIC
DOWNGLIDE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS SHOULD WORK TO ERODE MUCH OF
THESE CLOUDS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS LEAVING BEHIND MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. THERE IS SOME VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FOG
ACROSS OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST COUNTIES CLOSER TO MORNING AS
DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S AND TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY FALL TO THE DEWPOINT BY THIS TIME. WE'LL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS POTENTIAL AS TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING COULD RESULT
IN SOME PATCHY FREEZING FOG. OTHERWISE, IT'LL BE A NICE BUT COOL
DAY MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND A LIGHT NORTH WIND. THE
PLEASANT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY WITH A SLIGHT WARMUP
INTO THE 60S AND A RETURN TO LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS.
DUNN
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
THE EXTENDED FORECAST CONTINUES TO LOOK FAIRLY QUIET THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER
70S BENEATH DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. A STRONG LATE WEEK SHORTWAVE
TROUGH WILL SWING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY AND WILL USHER
A FAIRLY STRONG COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS. THIS
FRONT WILL LIKELY MOVE THROUGH NORTH TEXAS ON FRIDAY WITH BRISK
NORTH WINDS AND COLDER AIR SPILLING SOUTHWARD. THE FRONT LOOKS
LIKE IT WILL COME THROUGH DRY, BUT THE LATEST GUIDANCE POINTS TO
AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE KICKING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST U.S. OVER THE
WEEKEND. WITH AMPLE MOISTURE ABOVE THE SHALLOW COLDER AIR, MODEST
ISENTROPIC ASCENT WOULD LIKELY LEAD TO AT LEAST SOME LIGHT RAIN
OVER THE WEEKEND. AT THIS TIME, WE'LL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY, BUT
CONTINUE TO MONITOR OVER THE COMING DAYS.
DUNN
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 521 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
VFR PREVAILS ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING WITH NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 KT. THERE IS SOME VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR 5SM BR TO
DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, BUT WE'LL MAINTAIN VFR FOR NOW
AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR. CLOUDS TO THE NORTH WILL ALSO TRY TO
SPREAD SOUTHWARD BUT WILL BE FIGHTING DRIER AIR OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS, SO WE DON'T ANTICIPATE THEM MAKING IT TO THE MAJOR AIRPORTS
THROUGH THE MORNING. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 KT SHOULD PREVAIL FOR
MUCH OF THE DAY THEN WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AFTER SUNSET AROUND 5
KT. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE ON TUESDAY TO AROUND 15 KT WITH VFR
PREVAILING.
DUNN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DALLAS-FT. WORTH 52 37 65 45 / 0 0 0 0
WACO 55 35 64 44 / 0 0 0 0
PARIS 49 32 59 41 / 0 0 0 0
DENTON 52 32 64 40 / 0 0 0 0
MCKINNEY 52 34 63 42 / 0 0 0 0
DALLAS 52 37 64 45 / 0 0 0 0
TERRELL 52 33 63 42 / 0 0 0 0
CORSICANA 54 36 65 45 / 0 0 0 0
TEMPLE 56 33 66 43 / 0 0 0 0
MINERAL WELLS 56 34 70 41 / 0 0 0 0
FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page