318
FGUS54 KFWR 160116
RVFMAF
RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NWS WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER, FORT WORTH, TX
816 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE WEST GULF RIVER
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.
: FORECAST GROUP IS RIOG
:
:
:************************************************************
:PRESIDIO - RIO GRANDE AT INTERNATIONAL BRIDGE
:ACTION STAGE 12.0 FT FLOOD STAGE 15.5 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 20.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 22.9 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.6 FT AT 0715 PM CDT ON OCT 15
.AR :CREST: PRST2 1017 C DC202610152016/DH0100/HGIFFXZ 14.7
.ER PRST2 1016 C DC202610152016/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1015 : / 4.6
.E2 : 1016 : / 5.9 / 10.0 / 13.0 / 14.7
.E3 : 1017 : / 13.3 / 10.6 / 9.0 / 8.0
.E4 : 1018 : / 6.9 / 5.9 / 5.6 / 5.5
.E5 : 1019 : / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.1 / 5.0
.E6 : 1020 : / 4.9 / 4.8 / 4.7
.ER PRST2 1016 C DC202610152016/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1015 : / 0.46
.E2 : 1016 : / 0.56 / 0.34 / 0.04
.AR PRST2 1016 C DC202610152016/DH01/PPVFZ/DVH24/1.40
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:RISE TO ACTION STAGE MOSTLY BASED ON QPF
:************************************************************
:PRESIDIO 5 SE - RIO CONCHOS
:ACTION STAGE 8.0 FT FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 13.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 16.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.4 FT AT 0715 PM CDT ON OCT 15
:RIVER FORECAST
.ER PRDT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH22/HGIFF/DIH3
.E1 :10/15 07PM-07AM: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 3.3
.E2 :10/16 07AM-07PM:/ 6.5 / 8.1 / 8.5 / 8.3
.E3 :10/16 07PM-07AM:/ 8.1 / 8.3 / 8.3 / 8.1
.E4 :10/17 07AM-07PM:/ 7.6 / 7.0 / 6.2 / 5.5
.E5 :10/17 07PM-07AM:/ 5.1 / 4.6 / 4.3 / 4.0
.E6 :10/18 07AM-07PM:/ 3.7 / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.2
.E7 :10/18 07PM-07AM:/ 3.2 / 3.1 / 3.1 / 3.1
.E8 :10/19 07AM-07PM:/ 3.0 / 3.0 / 2.9 / 2.9
.E9 :10/19 07PM-07AM:/ 2.9 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8
.E10 :10/20 07AM-07PM:/ 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7
.E11 :10/20 07PM-10PM:/ 2.7
.ER PRDT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH22/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM
.E1 :10/15 10AM-04AM: / 0.37
.E2 :10/16 07AM-10PM:/ 0.45 / 0.28 / 0.03
.AR PRDT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH22/PPVFZ/DVH24/1.13
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:RISE TO ACTION STAGE MOSTLY BASED ON QPF
:************************************************************
:TERLINGUA 8 S - TERLINGUA CREEK
:ACTION STAGE 10.0 FT FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 21.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 22.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.3 FT AT 0715 PM CDT ON OCT 15
.AR :CREST: TNGT2 1016 C DC202610152016/DH1600/HGIFFXZ 11.5
:RIVER FORECAST
.ER TNGT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH20/HGIFF/DIH1
.E1 :10/15 07PM-01AM: / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.0 / 3.9
.E2 :10/16 01AM-07AM:/ 4.0 / 4.2 / 4.5 / 4.9 / 5.3 / 5.7
.E3 :10/16 07AM-01PM:/ 6.3 / 7.1 / 8.0 / 8.9 / 9.7 / 10.4
.E4 :10/16 01PM-07PM:/ 10.9 / 11.2 / 11.4 / 11.5 / 11.4 / 11.3
.E5 :10/16 07PM-01AM:/ 11.0 / 10.6 / 10.1 / 9.5 / 8.9 / 8.2
.E6 :10/17 01AM-07AM:/ 7.6 / 7.1 / 6.7 / 6.3 / 6.1 / 5.9
.E7 :10/17 07AM-01PM:/ 5.8 / 5.7 / 5.7 / 5.6 / 5.6 / 5.6
.E8 :10/17 01PM-07PM:/ 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E9 :10/17 07PM-01AM:/ 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.3 / 5.3
.E10 :10/18 01AM-07AM:/ 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2
.E11 :10/18 07AM-01PM:/ 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.1
.E12 :10/18 01PM-07PM:/ 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0
.E13 :10/18 07PM-01AM:/ 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 4.9 / 4.9 / 4.9
.E14 :10/19 01AM-07AM:/ 4.9 / 4.9 / 4.9 / 4.9 / 4.8 / 4.8
.E15 :10/19 07AM-01PM:/ 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.7
.E16 :10/19 01PM-07PM:/ 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7
.E17 :10/19 07PM-01AM:/ 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6
.E18 :10/20 01AM-07AM:/ 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5
.E19 :10/20 07AM-01PM:/ 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4
.E20 :10/20 01PM-07PM:/ 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3
.E21 :10/20 07PM-08PM:/ 4.3
.ER TNGT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH20/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM
.E1 :10/15 12PM-02PM: / 0.10 / 0.14 / 0.05
.E2 :10/16 07PM-08PM:/ 0.00
.AR TNGT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH20/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.29
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:RISE TO ACTION STAGE MOSTLY BASED ON QPF
:************************************************************
:CASTOLON - RIO GRANDE
:ACTION STAGE 13.0 FT FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 19.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 24.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.2 FT AT 0715 PM CDT ON OCT 15
.AR :CREST: CSTT2 1016 C DC202610152016/DH2200/HGIFFXZ 17.5
:RIVER FORECAST
.ER CSTT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH22/HGIFF/DIH3
.E1 :10/15 07PM-07AM: / 4.8 / 4.3 / 4.9
.E2 :10/16 07AM-07PM:/ 7.3 / 9.3 / 11.0 / 14.2
.E3 :10/16 07PM-07AM:/ 16.7 / 17.5 / 17.2 / 16.0
.E4 :10/17 07AM-07PM:/ 14.6 / 13.7 / 13.2 / 12.5
.E5 :10/17 07PM-07AM:/ 11.7 / 10.6 / 9.7 / 8.9
.E6 :10/18 07AM-07PM:/ 8.1 / 7.6 / 7.1 / 6.7
.E7 :10/18 07PM-07AM:/ 6.3 / 6.0 / 5.7 / 5.5
.E8 :10/19 07AM-07PM:/ 5.4 / 5.2 / 5.1 / 4.9
.E9 :10/19 07PM-07AM:/ 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.5
.E10 :10/20 07AM-07PM:/ 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.2
.E11 :10/20 07PM-10PM:/ 4.1
.ER CSTT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH22/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM
.E1 :10/15 10AM-04AM: / 0.39
.E2 :10/16 07AM-10PM:/ 0.60 / 0.25 / 0.04
.AR CSTT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH22/PPVFZ/DVH24/1.28
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:RISE TO MINOR FLOOD MOSTLY BASED ON QPF
:************************************************************
:JOHNSON RANCH
:ACTION STAGE 12.0 FT FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 17.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 19.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 7.5 FT AT 0715 PM CDT ON OCT 15
.AR :CREST: TELT2 1016 C DC202610152016/DH1000/HGIFFXZ 17.1
.AR :CREST: TELT2 1017 C DC202610152016/DH1000/HGIFFXZ 17.7
:RIVER FORECAST
.ER TELT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH22/HGIFF/DIH3
.E1 :10/15 07PM-07AM: / 6.8 / 7.1 / 9.6
.E2 :10/16 07AM-07PM:/ 14.5 / 17.1 / 15.2 / 13.4
.E3 :10/16 07PM-07AM:/ 12.9 / 13.4 / 14.5 / 16.1
.E4 :10/17 07AM-07PM:/ 17.2 / 17.7 / 17.3 / 16.7
.E5 :10/17 07PM-07AM:/ 15.9 / 15.2 / 14.5 / 13.7
.E6 :10/18 07AM-07PM:/ 12.7 / 11.9 / 11.1 / 10.2
.E7 :10/18 07PM-07AM:/ 9.5 / 9.2 / 8.9 / 8.5
.E8 :10/19 07AM-07PM:/ 8.0 / 7.8 / 7.6 / 7.5
.E9 :10/19 07PM-07AM:/ 7.3 / 7.2 / 7.1 / 7.0
.E10 :10/20 07AM-07PM:/ 6.9 / 6.8 / 6.7 / 6.6
.E11 :10/20 07PM-10PM:/ 6.5
.ER TELT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH22/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM
.E1 :10/15 10AM-04AM: / 0.40
.E2 :10/16 07AM-10PM:/ 0.56 / 0.17 / 0.01
.AR TELT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH22/PPVFZ/DVH24/1.14
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:RISE TO MODERATE FLOOD BASED ON LOCAL QPF (FIRST CREST) AND
:POTENTIAL ROUTED FLOWS (SECOND CREST)
:************************************************************
:BOQUILLAS - RIO GRANDE AT RANGER STATION
:ACTION STAGE 10.0 FT FLOOD STAGE 13.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 15.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 20.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.4 FT AT 0730 PM CDT ON OCT 14
.AR :CREST: BOQT2 1016 C DC202610152016/DH1300/HGIFFXZ 19.4
.AR :CREST: BOQT2 1017 C DC202610152016/DH1300/HGIFFXZ 14.6
:RIVER FORECAST
.ER BOQT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH22/HGIFF/DIH3
.E1 :10/15 07PM-07AM: / 8.2 / 10.1 / 13.0
.E2 :10/16 07AM-07PM:/ 16.6 / 18.0 / 19.4 / 19.1
.E3 :10/16 07PM-07AM:/ 17.3 / 15.2 / 13.7 / 13.2
.E4 :10/17 07AM-07PM:/ 13.6 / 14.2 / 14.6 / 14.4
.E5 :10/17 07PM-07AM:/ 13.8 / 12.9 / 12.0 / 11.1
.E6 :10/18 07AM-07PM:/ 10.2 / 9.3 / 8.7 / 8.1
.E7 :10/18 07PM-07AM:/ 7.5 / 6.9 / 6.4 / 6.0
.E8 :10/19 07AM-07PM:/ 5.7 / 5.4 / 5.1 / 4.9
.E9 :10/19 07PM-07AM:/ 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.4
.E10 :10/20 07AM-07PM:/ 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E11 :10/20 07PM-10PM:/ 4.1
.ER BOQT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH22/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM
.E1 :10/15 10AM-04AM: / 0.33
.E2 :10/16 07AM-10PM:/ 0.28 / 0.07 / 0.00
.AR BOQT2 1015 C DC202610152016/DH22/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.68
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:GAGE OUT OF SERVICE. LATEST OBSERVATIONS NOT AVAILABLE.
:RISE TO MODERATE FLOOD BASED ON QPF AND POTENTIAL ROUTED
:FLOWS
:************************************************************
:SHEFFIELD 17 SSE - INDEPENDENCE CREEK
:ACTION STAGE 6.0 FT FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 15.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 22.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.7 FT AT 0740 PM CDT ON OCT 15
.AR :CREST: SFIT2 1016 C DC202610152016/DH1300/HGIFFXZ 7.2
.AR :CREST: SFIT2 1018 C DC202610152016/DH0700/HGIFFXZ 6.4
.ER SFIT2 1016 C DC202610152016/DH01/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1015 : / 5.2
.E2 : 1016 : / 6.6 / 7.2 / 7.0 / 6.5
.E3 : 1017 : / 5.9 / 5.7 / 5.6 / 6.1
.E4 : 1018 : / 6.4 / 6.3 / 6.0 / 5.7
.E5 : 1019 : / 5.4 / 5.2 / 5.1 / 5.1
.E6 : 1020 : / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.1
.ER SFIT2 1016 C DC202610152016/DH01/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1015 : / 1.88
.E2 : 1016 : / 0.99 / 0.10 / 0.00
.AR SFIT2 1016 C DC202610152016/DH01/PPVFZ/DVH24/2.97
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:RISE TO ACTION STAGE BASED ON QPF
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.AR FWR 1016 C DT202610160116/YIIRZ 16 : CTG
:
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