174
FGUS54 KFWR 160743
RVFMAF
RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NWS WEST GULF RIVER FORECAST CENTER, FORT WORTH, TX
242 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2026
THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE WEST GULF RIVER
FORECAST CENTER. PUBLIC FORECASTS AND WARNINGS ARE ISSUED BY NWS
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICES.
: FORECAST GROUP IS RIOG
:
:
:************************************************************
:PRESIDIO - RIO GRANDE AT INTERNATIONAL BRIDGE
:ACTION STAGE 12.0 FT FLOOD STAGE 15.5 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 20.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 22.9 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.6 FT AT 0215 AM CDT ON OCT 16
.ER PRST2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH07/HGIFF/DIH6
:RIVER FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1016 : / 4.6 / 4.8 / 5.0 / 5.0
.E2 : 1017 : / 4.9 / 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.6
.E3 : 1018 : / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5
.E4 : 1019 : / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5
.E5 : 1020 : / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5
.ER PRST2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH07/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM
.E1 : 1016 : / 0.70 / 0.29 / 0.01 / 0.00
.AR PRST2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH07/PPVFZ/DVH24/1.00
:
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:RIVER NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH ACTION STAGE. THIS WILL
:BE THE LAST FORECAST FOR THIS EVENT.
:************************************************************
:PRESIDIO 5 SE - RIO CONCHOS
:ACTION STAGE 8.0 FT FLOOD STAGE 9.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 13.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 16.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.5 FT AT 0215 AM CDT ON OCT 16
:RIVER FORECAST
.ER PRDT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH04/HGIFF/DIH3
.E1 :10/15 07PM-07AM: / 2.6
.E2 :10/16 07AM-07PM:/ 2.6 / 2.8 / 3.4 / 3.9
.E3 :10/16 07PM-07AM:/ 4.1 / 4.3 / 4.1 / 3.7
.E4 :10/17 07AM-07PM:/ 3.4 / 3.2 / 3.0 / 2.9
.E5 :10/17 07PM-07AM:/ 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.6
.E6 :10/18 07AM-07PM:/ 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6
.E7 :10/18 07PM-07AM:/ 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.5
.E8 :10/19 07AM-07PM:/ 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5
.E9 :10/19 07PM-07AM:/ 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5
.E10 :10/20 07AM-07PM:/ 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5
.E11 :10/20 07PM-04AM:/ 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5
.ER PRDT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH04/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM
.E1 :10/16 07AM-04AM:/ 0.46 / 0.18 / 0.01 / 0.00
.AR PRDT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH04/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.65
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:RIVER NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH ACTION STAGE. THIS WILL
:BE THE LAST FORECAST FOR THIS EVENT.
:************************************************************
:TERLINGUA 8 S - TERLINGUA CREEK
:ACTION STAGE 10.0 FT FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 21.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 22.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.0 FT AT 0215 AM CDT ON OCT 16
:RIVER FORECAST
.ER TNGT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH03/HGIFF/DIH1
.E1 :10/16 01AM-07AM: / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.7
.E2 :10/16 07AM-01PM:/ 3.9 / 4.1 / 4.5 / 4.9 / 5.4 / 5.7
.E3 :10/16 01PM-07PM:/ 6.1 / 6.6 / 7.1 / 7.5 / 7.8 / 8.0
.E4 :10/16 07PM-01AM:/ 8.0 / 7.9 / 7.7 / 7.4 / 7.0 / 6.7
.E5 :10/17 01AM-07AM:/ 6.3 / 6.0 / 5.8 / 5.6 / 5.5 / 5.5
.E6 :10/17 07AM-01PM:/ 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.1
.E7 :10/17 01PM-07PM:/ 5.1 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 4.9
.E8 :10/17 07PM-01AM:/ 4.9 / 4.9 / 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.8
.E9 :10/18 01AM-07AM:/ 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.6
.E10 :10/18 07AM-01PM:/ 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5
.E11 :10/18 01PM-07PM:/ 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.3
.E12 :10/18 07PM-01AM:/ 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E13 :10/19 01AM-07AM:/ 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1
.E14 :10/19 07AM-01PM:/ 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 / 3.9
.E15 :10/19 01PM-07PM:/ 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8
.E16 :10/19 07PM-01AM:/ 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7
.E17 :10/20 01AM-07AM:/ 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6
.E18 :10/20 07AM-01PM:/ 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5
.E19 :10/20 01PM-07PM:/ 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4
.E20 :10/20 07PM-01AM:/ 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3
.E21 :10/21 01AM-03AM:/ 3.3 / 3.3
.ER TNGT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH03/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM
.E1 :10/15 07AM-09AM: / 0.06
.E2 :10/16 02PM-03AM:/ 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
.AR TNGT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH03/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.06
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:RIVER NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH ACTION STAGE. THIS WILL
:BE THE LAST FORECAST FOR THIS EVENT.
:************************************************************
:CASTOLON - RIO GRANDE
:ACTION STAGE 13.0 FT FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 19.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 24.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.2 FT AT 0215 AM CDT ON OCT 16
:RIVER FORECAST
.ER CSTT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH04/HGIFF/DIH3
.E1 :10/15 07PM-07AM: / 3.5
.E2 :10/16 07AM-07PM:/ 4.2 / 4.7 / 5.7 / 6.2
.E3 :10/16 07PM-07AM:/ 6.8 / 8.8 / 9.6 / 9.2
.E4 :10/17 07AM-07PM:/ 8.0 / 7.2 / 6.7 / 6.3
.E5 :10/17 07PM-07AM:/ 5.9 / 5.5 / 5.1 / 4.8
.E6 :10/18 07AM-07PM:/ 4.5 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.1
.E7 :10/18 07PM-07AM:/ 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.8 / 3.7
.E8 :10/19 07AM-07PM:/ 3.7 / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.5
.E9 :10/19 07PM-07AM:/ 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4
.E10 :10/20 07AM-07PM:/ 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3
.E11 :10/20 07PM-04AM:/ 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2
.ER CSTT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH04/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM
.E1 :10/16 07AM-04AM:/ 0.57 / 0.28 / 0.02 / 0.00
.AR CSTT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH04/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.87
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:RIVER NO LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGE. THIS
:WILL BE THE LAST FORECAST FOR THIS EVENT.
:************************************************************
:JOHNSON RANCH
:ACTION STAGE 12.0 FT FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 17.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 19.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.1 FT AT 0215 AM CDT ON OCT 16
:RIVER FORECAST
.ER TELT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH04/HGIFF/DIH3
.E1 :10/15 07PM-07AM: / 5.2
.E2 :10/16 07AM-07PM:/ 6.1 / 8.1 / 8.7 / 8.4
.E3 :10/16 07PM-07AM:/ 7.5 / 6.8 / 7.6 / 8.7
.E4 :10/17 07AM-07PM:/ 9.3 / 9.3 / 8.9 / 8.4
.E5 :10/17 07PM-07AM:/ 7.8 / 7.3 / 6.7 / 6.1
.E6 :10/18 07AM-07PM:/ 5.5 / 4.3 / 3.7 / 3.7
.E7 :10/18 07PM-07AM:/ 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7
.E8 :10/19 07AM-07PM:/ 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7
.E9 :10/19 07PM-07AM:/ 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7
.E10 :10/20 07AM-07PM:/ 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7
.E11 :10/20 07PM-04AM:/ 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7
.ER TELT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH04/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM
.E1 :10/16 07AM-04AM:/ 0.45 / 0.20 / 0.01 / 0.00
.AR TELT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH04/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.66
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:RIVER NOT LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.
:THIS WILL BE THE LAST FORECAST FOR THIS EVENT.
:************************************************************
:BOQUILLAS - RIO GRANDE AT RANGER STATION
:ACTION STAGE 10.0 FT FLOOD STAGE 13.0 FT
:MODERATE STAGE 15.0 FT MAJOR STAGE 20.0 FT
:
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 1.4 FT AT 0200 AM CDT ON OCT 16
.AR :CREST: BOQT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH1000/HGIFFXZ 16.7
:RIVER FORECAST
.ER BOQT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH04/HGIFF/DIH3
.E1 :10/15 07PM-07AM: / 10.7
.E2 :10/16 07AM-07PM:/ 14.7 / 16.7 / 16.5 / 15.1
.E3 :10/16 07PM-07AM:/ 12.8 / 10.8 / 9.4 / 7.9
.E4 :10/17 07AM-07PM:/ 6.6 / 5.7 / 5.8 / 6.3
.E5 :10/17 07PM-07AM:/ 6.2 / 5.7 / 5.3 / 5.0
.E6 :10/18 07AM-07PM:/ 4.7 / 4.5 / 4.2 / 4.0
.E7 :10/18 07PM-07AM:/ 3.8 / 3.6 / 3.4 / 3.1
.E8 :10/19 07AM-07PM:/ 2.7 / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.1
.E9 :10/19 07PM-07AM:/ 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.0
.E10 :10/20 07AM-07PM:/ 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0
.E11 :10/20 07PM-04AM:/ 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0
.ER BOQT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH04/PPQFZ/DIH6
:QPF FORECAST / 6AM / 12PM / 6PM / 12AM
.E1 :10/16 07AM-04AM:/ 0.26 / 0.09 / 0.01 / 0.00
.AR BOQT2 1016 C DC202610160242/DH04/PPVFZ/DVH24/0.36
:FORECASTER COMMENTS...
:GAGE OUT OF SERVICE. LATEST OBSERVATIONS NOT AVAILABLE.
:RISE POSSIBLE TO MODERATE FLOOD STAGE FROM WIDESPREAD 2-3
:INCHES OF RAIN OVER CONTRIBUTING BASINS AND ADDITIONAL QPF.
:
:*******************************************************************
:
.AR FWR 1016 C DT202610160742/YIIRZ 50 : JMJ
:
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page