389  
FNUS75 KGGW 051814  
FWSGGW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FLICKER FIRE...BLM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT  
1214 PM MDT SAT JUL 5 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 MDT ON JULY 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT (406) 228-9622.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LOOK FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE INTO THE BURN  
AREA BY 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND MAY CONTAIN WIND GUSTS TO ABOUT  
60 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. BUT IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT THE  
STRONGER/SEVERE STORMS WILL STAY TO THE SOUTH (AS THE MAJORITY  
WILL MOVE FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL MONTANA INTO SOUTHEAST MONTANA).  
 
AFTER THAT, QUIETER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH LINGERING  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. PRECIPITATION  
TOTALS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT COULD BE UP TO A HALF INCH.  
 
SUNDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE SUNNY WITH A LIGHT WEST WIND.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). HAZE EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................71 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...46 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE EAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 12 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........66 79 72 80 82  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....HAZ RW HAZ RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............70 70 70 70 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).30 30 50 50 50  
TEMP............75 75 75 77 72  
RH..............48 47 48 52 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 11 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 5.3 5.0 4.2 3.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 10 12 9  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...59 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 9  
TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING  
SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO 12 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........76 72 63 69 52 57 40 41 26 28 32 37  
WEATHER COV.....LKY SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........LKY SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).60 20 30 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............71 71 68 66 64 63 62 62 61 59 58 58  
RH..............65 63 64 70 76 80 79 82 83 80 81 83  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE S W SW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 10 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE NE E S S S SW SW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 10 9 13 12 9 12 10 10 10  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). HAZE LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 17 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........49 49 49 24 24 24 23 23 23 45 45 45  
WEATHER COV..... DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE.... HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............56 58 61 63 69 72 74 76 79 80 82 82  
RH..............83 80 73 69 60 51 43 38 35 33 31 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 8 8 8 11 11 11 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 3.0 4.7 6.0 6.8 7.1 7.1 7.5 7.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 14 15 14 15 16 17 17 17 17 17  
 
 
FORECASTER...JAMBA  
REQUESTED BY...RACHEL F  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2517387.0/GGW  
.DELDT 07/05/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MTLEC@FIRENET.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab MT Page
Main Text Page