931
FXUS65 KGGW 050856
AFDGGW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
156 AM MST WED NOV 5 2025
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES:
- WARMER AND WINDY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THURSDAY. WILL ISSUE
A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR SW PHILLIPS COUNTY ON THURSDAY.
- COLDER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WITH CHANCES FOR LIGHT
RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW MAINLY FRIDAY NIGHT.
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA TODAY WITH DRY
WEATHER AND SOMEWHAT WARMER TEMPERATURES.
THURSDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE JUST TO
OUR NORTH WILL DROP INTO THE DAKOTAS. STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL MIX
TO THE SURFACE. WIND GUSTS IN SW PHILLIPS COUNTY COULD REACH 55 TO
60 MPH. WILL ISSUE A HIGH WIND WATCH THERE FOR THURSDAY. THE
NBM PROBABILITY OF A 55+ MPH GUST FOR ZORTMAN IS CURRENTLY 75
PERCENT. WIND GUSTS FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF NE MONTANA ON
THURSDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE 40 TO 50 MPH IN THE WEST AND 30 TO 40
MPH IN THE EAST. LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS EXPECTED FOR FORT PECK
LAKE.
A COLD FRONT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BRING COOLER
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY.
THEN ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW. BOTH
GFS AND EC ENSEMBLES HAVE AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW FOR SCOBEY AND
PLENTYWOOD FRIDAY NIGHT.
DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE THE
WEEKEND BUT TEMPS WILL BE COOLER. UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK INTO THE
AREA ON MONDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
BLENDED IN THE NBM 90 FOR WINDS ON THURSDAY. OTHERWISE, NO CHANGES
FROM NBM FOR THE FORECAST.
MODERATE CONFIDENCE ON WIND FORECAST FOR THURSDAY. LOW CONFIDENCE
ON THE CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN OR LIGHT SNOW FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT.
AVIATION
UPDATED: 0900Z.
FLIGHT CATEGORY: VFR.
PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR
INCREASING MID AND HIGH CLOUDS TODAY WITH BKN-OVC MID CLOUDS
TONIGHT.
WINDS: LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY BECOMING SE 5 TO 15 KNOTS THIS
MORNING AND EAST TO SE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A WARM FRONT
WILL TURN THE WINDS TO WEST 5 TO 15 KNOTS BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z
THURSDAY WHICH WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 TO 35
KNOTS BY 18Z THURSDAY.
GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHWEST PHILLIPS.
WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW
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