316
FXUS65 KGGW 020913
AFDGGW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
213 AM MST MON FEB 2 2026
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES:
- A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE AREA INTO THIS AFTERNOON.
- OTHERWISE, DRY AND MILD WEATHER IS EXPECTED STARTING ON TUESDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND SURFACE FRONT WILL AID IN BRINGING AN
OPPORTUNITY FOR A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN, FREEZING RAIN, AND SNOW
OVERNIGHT THORUGH TODAY. A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS OF FREEZING RAIN AND
LESS THAN AN INCH OF LIGHT SNOW(DUSTING) IS FORECAST WITH THIS
DISTURBANCE ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST MONTANA. MOST OTHER LOCATIONS
WILL REMAIN DRY.
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AFTER TONIGHT AS A RIDGE
BUILDS INTO THE AREA. AT THIS POINT, THURSDAY APPEARS TO BE THE
WARMEST DAY AS A DRY COLD FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BRING SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY THAT WILL STILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. THE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE INTO NEXT
WEEKEND WITH DRY WEATHER. THERE WILL BE AN EYE OUT FOR PSOME
POTENTIAL HYDROLOGY CONCERNS SINCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT HAS ABOVE
FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN CENTRAL MONTANA. ALSO, MULTIPLE WARM DAYS
AND DRYING IN THE SOUTHWEST PART OF THE AREA WILL BRING FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS BACK INTO THE PICTURE AS WELL.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
DEIVATION INCLUDED ALLOWING PART OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST GOING
INTO THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS TO STAND INCLUDING THE POPS FOR THE
EVENT CURRENT EVENT WITH MINOR ADJUSTMENTS NEAR THE END WITH IT'S
EXIT. SKY CONDITIONS WERE ALSO UPDATED THROUGH ABBOUT THE SAME
PERIOD WITH EXIT OF THE CURRENT SYSTEM.
CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE IN ACCUMULATING FREEZING RAIN OCCURRING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING.
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ON THIS MORNING
WILL BE BELOW 0.03 INCHES.
GAH
AVIATION
UPDATED: 0830Z
FLIGHT CAT RANGE: VFR TO IFR.
DISCUSSION: A STATIONARY FRONT SPREAD FROM WHITEWATER TO GLASGOW
TO GLENDIVE HAS ALLOWED LOW CLOUDS TO SET UP IN THESE LOCATIONS
AND AREAS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THIS LINE. THIS BRINGS MODERATE TO
HIGH CONFIDENCE OF MVFR CEILINGS AND MODERATE CONFIDENCE OF
SCATTERED IFR CEILINGS OCCURRING FROM NOW THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY.
THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY, THERE IS LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE (20 TO 40
PERCENT) OF A WINTRY MIX, WHICH INCLUDES FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE
OCCURRING WITH THESE CONDITIONS. MVFR CEILINGS SHOULD CLEAR THE
AREA AFTER ABOUT 18Z TUESDAY.
WIND: LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH MID MORNING. THEN W TO NW AND
INCREASING TO 10 TO 20KTS IN THE LATE MORNING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. DECREASING TO LIGHT AND W OR VARIABLE AGAIN THIS
EVENING.
GAH
GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VALLEY-DANIELS-DAWSON-EASTERN ROOSEVELT-
MCCONE-NORTHERN VALLEY-RICHLAND-SHERIDAN-WESTERN ROOSEVELT-
WIBAUX.
WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW
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