918
FXUS65 KGGW 041954
AFDGGW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
1254 PM MST WED FEB 4 2026
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES:
- DRY AND MILD WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
- THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST DAY AND QUITE WARM FOR FEBRUARY
ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN ZONES. THERE ARE SLIGHT FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS.
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
SHARP UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PACIFIC NW FLATTENS AND SPREADS EAST
LATER THIS WEEK, KEEPING MONTANA MILD AND DRY.
A VERY WARM AIRMASS FOR FEBRUARY WILL BE OVER MONTANA TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES +10 TO +12C. LINGERING SNOW
COVER WILL LIMIT TEMPERATURES SOMEWHAT IN THE NORTH. MEANWHILE,
BARE GROUND IN THE SOUTH WILL ALLOW FOR VERY WARM TEMPERATURES
ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY. HIGH ON THURSDAY WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH
MIXING OCCURS WHICH IS MORE LIKELY IN THE SOUTH WHERE HIGHS WILL
BE IN THE 60S IN MOST AREAS AND NEAR 70 AROUND WINNETT. THIS IS
WHERE WINDS AND MINIMUM HUMIDITY OF LESS THAN 25 PERCENT COULD
BRING A LOCAL CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
FOR THE NORTHERN ZONES, IF THE WARM AIR ALOFT ENDS UP MIXING IN
THE SNOW COVERED AREAS ON THURSDAY, HIGHS WILL BE WARMER THAN THE
45 TO 50 IN THE CURRENT FORECAST.
A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WILL BRING SOMEWHAT COOLER TEMPERATURES ON
FRIDAY. THE RIDGE MOVES EAST AND FLATTENS ACROSS THE AREA OVER
THE WEEKEND WITH WARM AND DRY WEATHER.
A PACIFIC TROUGH MOVES IN ON MONDAY WITH CHANCES FOR LIGHT MIXED
PRECIPITATION THROUGH MID-WEEK.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE AREA FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. HOWEVER, THE QUESTION OF MIXING ESPECIALLY ON
THURSDAY LOWERS THE CONFIDENCE ON THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.
MINOR DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM WERE MADE TO MINIMUM HUMIDITY
THURSDAY, LOWERING IN THE SW ZONES. TFJ
AVIATION
UPDATED: 2000Z
FLIGHT CAT RANGE: VFR.
DISCUSSION: CONDITIONS SHOULD BE DRY INTO THURSDAY. MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS WILL STREAM THROUGH OCCASIONALLY. NOCTURNAL FOG
PATCHES FROM KGGW TO KOLF COULD RETURN THURSDAY NIGHT.
WINDS WILL DECREASE BY EVENING THEN INCREASE AGAIN FROM THE W/NW
THURSDAY.
LLWS: MAINLY TONIGHT. TFJ
GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page