057
FXUS65 KGGW 062000
AFDGGW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
200 PM MDT WED MAY 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- THE WARMING TREND CONTINUES WITH TEMPS ABOVE NORMAL FRIDAY.
- THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A LONE
THUNDERSTORM LOOKS TO BE ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
- A SLIGHTLY WETTER SYSTEM ARRIVES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH
OVER A TENTH OF AN INCH POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF PHILLIPS COUNTY.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO RETURN
SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
WITH THE STRONG UPPER LOW DEPARTING SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA, THE
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE PACIFIC NW WILL HAVE A GREATER INFLUENCE.
THIS WILL BRING A RETURN TO WARMER CONDITIONS WITH A COUPLE WEAK
DISTURBANCES.
THE FIRST ONE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THURSDAY OVER THE SW
ZONES.
THE SECOND ONE IS EXPECTED TO BRING MORE PRECIPITATION TO THE SAME
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL FINALLY REACH ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FRIDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. TEMPS WILL COOL SATURDAY WITH THE
ABUNDANT CLOUDS, THEN REBOUND SUNDAY WITH THE RETURN OF AT LEAST
PARTIAL SUNSHINE.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
NBM CAPTURED OVERALL TRENDS REASONABLY WELL, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS
BELOW AVERAGE ON PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND PLACEMENT THROUGH THE
PERIOD GIVEN THE HIT OR MISS NATURE OF CONVECTION, ESPECIALLY AT
LATER TIME PERIODS. AS HREF GUIDANCE AND OTHER SHORT TERM HIGHER
RESOLUTION DATA BECOME AVAILABLE, TRENDS SHOULD BECOME MORE CLEAR.
TFJ
AVIATION
LAST UPDATED: WEDNESDAY MAY 6, 2026 AT 2000Z
FLIGHT CAT RANGE: VFR.
DISCUSSION: MAINLY CLEAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH
LIGHT WINDS (LESS THAN 10 KTS). TFJ
GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW
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