149  
FXUS65 KGGW 180812  
AFDGGW  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT  
212 AM MDT MON MAY 18 2026  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE AT OR NEAR FREEZING.  
 
- WARM WEATHER RETURNS MID WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS  
RETURNS WEDNESDAY.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:  
 
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL KEEP COOL CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT  
BEFORE WEAKENING AND ALLOWING TEMPERATURES CLIMB CLOSER TO NORMAL  
BY WEDNESDAY. TONIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES LOOK TO DROP BELOW  
FREEZING WITH CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WIND. WITH THESE COOLER  
TEMPERATURES, MAKE SURE TO PROTECT SENSITIVE VEGETATION.  
 
BY MID WEEK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE WEST COAST WILL ALLOW  
QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGHS TO SNEAK THROUGH THE OVERALL QUASI-  
ZONAL FLOW, BRINGING SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH  
THE END OF THE WEEEEEK (GET IT? IT'S LIKE A ROLLERCOASTER). THE  
BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WEDNESDAY. MODEL PLUMES  
CONTINUE TO SUGGEST WEAK INSTABILITY IN THE ~300 J/KG MLCAPE RANGE  
DURING WEDNESDAY EVENING. GEFS FORECAST RH AND DEWPOINT FOR  
WEDNESDAY EVENING CONTINUE TO RISE.  
 
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:  
NO CHANGES TO NBM.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
LAST UPDATED: 0730Z  
 
FLIGHT CAT RANGE: MVFR, IFR THROUGH 18Z.  
 
DISCUSSION: LOW OVERCAST SKIES WITH BRIEF, LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS  
POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING. IFR CEILINGS DROPPING AS LOW  
AS 500FT INTERMITTENTLY OVER KGDV AND KSDY UNTIL 18Z.  
 
WINDS: NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH THROUGH 3Z TOMORROW. LIGHT AND  
VARIABLE THEREAFTER.  
 
 
   
GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW  
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