980
FXUS65 KGGW 071938
AFDGGW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
138 PM MDT TUE JUL 7 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE BUT
HEAVY FOCUSED RAINFALL IS THE MAIN CONCERN.
- UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY.
- EXPECT HIGHS TO BEGIN REACHING THE 90S FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH ISOLATED TIPPLE DIGITS POSSIBLE SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
REGION INTO TONIGHT. HREF CONTINUES TO SHOW SUPPORT FOR A FEW
SEVERE STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. MAIN
CONCERNS CONTINUE TO BE LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS, HEAVY
RAINFALL, AND LIGHTNING. HREF UPDRAFT HELICITY AND ENSEMBLE MAX
WIND GUST TOOLS ALSO HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE
STORMS DURING THE EVENING HOURS WEDNESDAY.
FOR THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND, UPPER RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO
DOMINATE AND BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WITH WARMER AND DRIER
WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE RIDGE WILL SLIDE DOWNSTREAM TOWARD THE
WEEKEND AS HIGH TEMPERATURES PUSH WELL INTO THE 90S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
TWEAKS WERE MADE FOR NEAR TERM POPS AND WINDS MAINLY FOR
CONSISTENCY AND COLLABORATION. OVERALL CAMS SHOW DECENT SUPPORT
ON CONVECTIVE RISK THIS EVENING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY EVENING,
THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS BELOW AVERAGE ON SPECIFIC SEVERE THREAT. THE
ISOLATED COVERAGE OF STRONGER STORMS AND EXACT TRACK AND EVOLUTION
IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN- NAMELY THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF THE RISK
THIS EVENING. CONFIDENCE IS GROWING ON HOT AND DRY WEATHER
UNFOLDING FOR THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
LAST UPDATED: TUESDAY JULY 7 AT 1915Z
FLIGHT CATEGORY: VFR - IFR
DISCUSSION: SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES INTO
THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL LEAD TO LOW STRATUS AND
REDUCED VISIBILITY.
WIND: EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 10 TO 20 KTS, DIMINISHING TO
AROUND 10 KTS AFTER 03Z.
GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST PHILLIPS-CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VALLEY-GARFIELD-MCCONE-
PETROLEUM.
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VALLEY-
DAWSON-GARFIELD-MCCONE-PRAIRIE-RICHLAND-WESTERN ROOSEVELT-WIBAUX.
WEATHER.GOV/GLASGOW
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