175
FXUS63 KGID 061141
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
541 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
..AVIATION UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- A MILD (60S) AND BREEZY AFTERNOON (SSW WINDS 15-25 MPH) IS IN
STORE FOR THE LOCAL AREA WITH LOTS OF HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS.
- WINDY (GUSTS TO 45 MPH) AND COOLER FOR SATURDAY (50S), WITH
POTENTIALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
- THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REMAINS DRY THROUGH DAY 7, BUT A COLD
FRONT COULD BRING SOME SPRINKLES/VERY LIGHT RAIN SATURDAY AM,
ESPECIALLY NE OF THE TRI-CITIES, WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ANTICIPATED TO FINISH OUT THE WEEKEND.
- A RAPID REBOUND IN TEMPERATURES IS ANTICIPATED NEXT MONDAY,
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES (60S TO NEAR 70) EXPECTED
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 401 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
LOTS OF HIGH CLOUDS CAN BE SEEN SPILLING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA
EARLY THIS MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CROSSING THE
ROCKIES APPROACHES THE LOCAL AREA. AHEAD OF THIS DISTURBANCE,
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS BEEN TIGHTENING UP OVERNIGHT, WITH
SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 20 MPH ALREADY BEING OBSERVED
IN SPOTS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.
AS WE TRANSITION INTO THE MORNING HOURS, EXPECT WINDS TO
INCREASE FURTHER ACROSS THE AREA, WITH A BREEZY AND VARIABLY
CLOUDY AFTERNOON IN STORE FOR THE LOCAL AREA. LATE IN THE DAY,
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD RELAX FROM WEST TO EAST AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT, WHICH IS ANTICIPATED TO CROSS THE LOCAL
AREA THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT. WHILE NO PRECIPITATION OR
NOTICABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THIS FRONT,
WE SHOULD SEE A WIND SHIFT, WITH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY.
A SECOND STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL FOLLOW IN NORTHWEST FLOW EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING, WITH VERY STRONG NORTHWESTERLY WINDS
ANTICIPATED IN ITS WAKE DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS SATURDAY. KEPT
THE STRONG WINDS WORDED IN THE HWO, WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 45 MPH
CONTINUING TO LOOK IN LINE WITH LATEST MODEL DATA. WHILE
OVERALL, THIS TOO LOOKS LIKE A DRY FRONT FOR THE VAST MAJORITY
OF THE LOCAL AREA, THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME SHOWERS DURING THE
MORNING HOURS SATURDAY ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA, WITH A FEW
SPRINKLES MAYBE EVEN POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF
OUR AREA. AGAIN, THIS DOES NOT LOOK LIKE MUCH OF A PRECIPITATION
MAKER LOCALLY, WITH MOST OF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS REMAINING DRY, AND
ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS OF PRECIP, AT BEST, EXPECTED LOCALLY.
IN ADDITION TO THE WINDS ON SATURDAY, COULD SEE SOME ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS MINIMUM RH VALUES FALL BELOW 30
PERCENT, ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS WEST OF HIGHWAY 281, AND
CONTINUED TO ADVERTISE THIS BOTH IN THE HWO AND FIRE WEATHER
FORECAST THIS MORNING.
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY, NOTICABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES
ARE ANTICIPATED TO FINISH OUT THE WEEKEND, WITH SOME LOCATIONS
POSSIBLY NOT CLIMBING OUT OF THE 30S SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS DIP
IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE BRIEF, HOWEVER, AS HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR
WEST WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TO START NEXT WEEK, ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO RAPIDLY CLIMB BACK ABOVE NORMAL BY TUESDAY.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 530 AM CST THU NOV 6 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
LOTS OF HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ANTICIPATED TO PASS ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
EXPECT SOUTHERLY WINDS TO REMAIN STEADY NEAR 12 KTS THROUGH
AROUND 15Z..RAPIDLY INCREASING AFTER THEREAFTER AS THE SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF THE NEXT
DISTURBANCE. WINDS WILL LIKELY GUST TO NEAR 25KTS AT BOTH
TERMINALS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS, DIMINISHING FROM WEST TO
EAST AS THEY BECOME MORE WESTERLY AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT
LATE IN THE DAY.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SR
AVIATION...SR
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