455
FXUS63 KGID 071159
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
559 AM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
..AVIATION UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
- A NICE FINISH TO THE WORK WEEK WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
RETURNING TO THE MID 60S AND GENERALLY MODEST NORTHWESTERLY
BREEZES (MAINLY LESS THAN 20 MPH).
- STRONG WINDS, COOLER TEMPERATURES AND ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED FOR SATURDAY. A FEW SHOWERS WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE, MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE TRI-CITIES DURING THE
MORNING HOURS SATURDAY (AND POSSIBLY AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT).
SMALL POPS (15-30%) AND LOW QPF (T-0.01") IN THE FORECAST FOR
SATURDAY AM.
- A VERY COLD FINISH TO THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
MAINLY IN THE 30S SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH LOWS LIKELY IN THE
TEENS SUNDAY NIGHT.
- SUNDAYS DROP IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE BRIEF, WITH TEMPERATURES
RETURNING TO THE 60S AND LOWER 70S FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK (TUE-
FRI). MONDAY WILL LIKELY BE A TRANSITION DAY, WITH HIGHS ONLY
CLIMBING INTO THE 40S TO NEAR 50. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER
THIS PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 352 AM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
A QUIET NIGHT ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AS SKIES STARTED OUT THE
NIGHT CLEAR WITH SOME MID-LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST
EARLY THIS MORNING. RADAR IS INDICATING SOME LIGHT RETURNS WITH
THIS CLOUD COVER, BUT GIVEN CLOUD BASES NEAR 9KFT (BBW) UPSTREAM
OF THE AREA, EVEN SPRINKLES LOOK LIKE A STRETCH FOR MOST OF THE
AREA THIS MORNING. THAT SAID, CLOUD COVER WILL BE A BIT MORE
PERSISTENT NORTHEAST OF THE TRI-CITIES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS, AND INTRODUCED A SMALL CHANCE FOR A SPRINKLE IN
COORDINATION WITH THE OAX OFFICE ALONG OUR BORDERS FOR THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS.
ONCE THIS CLOUD COVER RAPIDLY EXITS TO THE EAST DURING THE
MORNING HOURS, EXPECT A MOSTLY SUNNY AND FAIRLY PLEASANT
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO
THE 60S FOR THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE LOCAL AREA ACCOMPANIED BY
MAINLY MODEST NORTHWEST BREEZES (10-20 MPH) BEHIND YESTERDAYS
COLD FRONT.
BIG CHANGES ARE ON THE WAY FOR SATURDAY, HOWEVER, AS MODELS
CONTINUE TO INDICATE A SECOND MUCH STRONGER COLD FRONT
TRAVERSING THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING. WHILE MOST OF THE MODEL
DATA YESTERDAY WAS INDICATING SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS FRONT
WOULD BE NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL AREA SATURDAY MORNING, POPS HAVE
CONTINUED TO CREEP THEIR WAY SOUTHWEST INTO PORTIONS OF OUR
AREA. THAT SAID, TEMPERATURES SATURDAY MORNING SHOULD BE ABOVE
FREEZING AND ANY QPF WILL BE MINIMAL, WITH GENERALLY A TRACE TO
MAYBE A COUPLE OF HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF PRECIP POSSIBLE
NORTHEAST OF THE TRI-CITIES, RESULTING IN MINIMAL IMPACTS FROM
ANY PRECIPITATION LOCALLY. THEREFORE, THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS
FRONT REMAINS THE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS AND ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 06Z HRRR IS INDICATING
GUSTS TO NEAR 40KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS SATURDAY, WHICH WHILE VERY WINDY,
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA. AS A RESULT,
KEPT THE PREVIOUS WORDING OF 45 MPH GUSTS AND POSSIBLY HIGHER
GOING IN THE HWO THIS MORNING AND UPPED THE BLENDED MODEL
FORECAST APPROPRIATELY.
AS A SECONDARY PUSH OF COLD AIR SLIDES SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT, BRACE FOR WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON
SUNDAY. IN ADDITION, WHILE THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY OVER THIS
PERIOD, SOME MODELS ARE HINTING AT VERY LIGHT QPF SATURDAY
NIGHT, WHICH IF REALIZED COULD BRING SOME FLURRIES OR VERY
LIGHT SNOW TO NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. FOR THE TIME
BEING, THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY OVER THIS PERIOD, ALTHOUGH COULD
ENVISION ADDING SOME FLURRIES BEING ADDED TO THE FORECAST
SATURDAY NIGHT IF TRENDS PERSIST.
OTHERWISE, MONDAY SHOULD BE A TRANSITION DAY WITH TEMPERATURES
MODERATING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA BEFORE RAPIDLY CLIMBING BACK
ABOVE NORMAL (70S?) BY TUESDAY AND THEN FLUCTUATING 5-15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 543 AM CST FRI NOV 7 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
EXPECT MID LEVEL CLOUDS TO RAPIDLY EXIT TO THE EAST EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS...TO NEAR 20
KTS...ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE THIS EVENING AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT, WITH A FEW
INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED LATE IN THE PERIOD. VERY STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED BEHIND THIS FRONT DURING THE
DAYTIME HOURS SATURDAY.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SR
AVIATION...SR
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