351
FXUS63 KGID 111043
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
443 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES RETURN TO THE AREA TODAY.
EXPECT AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 60S TO AROUND 70F THROUGH
SATURDAY!
- DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL UNTIL A COLD FRONT AND LARGE SCALE
PATTERN CHANGE ARRIVES LATE SATURDAY. THE END OF THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE COOLER (50S) WITH SMALL CHANCES
FOR PRECIP (15-30%).
- DETAILS REGARDING THE WEEKEND SYSTEM REMAIN UNCERTAIN, BUT
RAIN CONTINUES TO LOOK MUCH MORE PROBABLE THAN SNOW AT THIS
TIME.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 401 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2025
A MUCH MORE MILD START TO THE DAY IS BEING REALIZED ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA THIS MORNING AS A WARM FRONT CROSSED NEBRASKA LATE
MONDAY EVENING AND LOTS OF CLOUDS COVER AND STEADY WINDS OF 5 TO
10 MPH HAVE HELPED TO KEEP TEMPERATURES MOSTLY ABOVE FREEZING.
DESPITE A WEAK COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO CROSS THE LOCAL AREA FROM
THE NORTH TODAY, EXPECT THIS TO BE PRIMARILY A WIND SHIFT, WITH
SURFACE TEMPERATURES STILL LIKELY TO WARM INTO THE MID 60S TO
NEAR 70S AREA WIDE. ACROSS THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE,
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL BEGIN
TO EXTEND INTO THE PLAINS AS WELL TODAY, HELPING TO STEER ANY
FUTURE DISTURBANCES NORTH AND EAST OF THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. AS A RESULT, A VERY NICE STRETCH OF WEATHER IS
IN STORE FOR THE REGION WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO
CLIMB 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH AT
LEAST THE END OF THE WEEK.
AS WE THEN TRANSITION INTO THE WEEKEND, A MAJOR PATTERN SHIFT IS
EXPECTED AS A WEST COAST TROUGH WILL PUSH ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND
INTO THE PLAINS AROUND SUNDAY. STILL SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE
HANDLING OF THIS TROUGH/LOW, BUT 00Z MODELS DO SEEM TO BECOMING
INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH A LOW LIFTING ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AROUND MONDAY, BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE FOR PRECIP BACK
TO THE AREA. CONFIDENCE IS ALSO GROWING THAT THIS WILL BE A
WARMER SYSTEM (RAIN) WITH ONLY MODESTLY COOLER (AND FRANKLY NEAR
NORMAL) TEMPERATURES FOR THE END OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THAT SAID, AFTER THIS FIRST TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH, A MORE
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN LOOKS TO BE IN STORE FOR THE LOCAL AREA
WITH PERIODIC CHANCES FOR PRECIP EVIDENT IN ENSEMBLES CONTINUING
THROUGH AROUND THANKSGIVING.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1116 PM CST MON NOV 10 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH JUST SOME
PASSING HIGH CLOUDS AND WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY FOCUS.
STEADY SOUTHERLY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST ACROSS
CENTRAL NEBRASKA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT,
COULD SEE A FEW HOURS OF LLWS AS INDICATED IN MODEL DATA, BUT
THUS FAR, THE VWP IS NOT INDICATING ANYTHING OF SIGNIFICANCE
(ALBEIT THIS COULD BE FROM A LACK OF SCATTERERS). AS A
RESULT...MAINTAINED SOME MARGINAL LLWS THROUGH 11/12Z...WHEN THE
LLJ SHOULD SHIFT EAST AND DISSIPATE AS SURFACE WINDS SHIFT MORE
WESTERLY BEHIND THE WARM FRONT. WINDS WILL AGAIN INCREASE
DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS AS MIXING TO NEAR 850MB IS
REALIZED...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO NEAR 20 KTS POSSIBLE BY
AFTERNOON. OVERALL...SKIES WILL BE VARIABLY CLOUDY, BUT CIGS
SHOULD REMAIN AOB 25KFT.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SR
AVIATION...SR
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