664
FXUS63 KGID 122108
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
308 PM CST WED NOV 12 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR RECORD TO RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON
FRIDAY.
- PRECIPITATION MAY RETURN TO THE AREA ON MONDAY; HOWEVER, THERE
IS UNCERTAINTY ON PRECIPITATION TYPE.
- TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP THROUGH FRIDAY (HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE
70S) THEN WILL DECREASE THROUGH TUESDAY (HIGHS IN THE 40S AND
50S).
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 303 PM CST WED NOV 12 2025
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY WITH
THE WESTERN HALF UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE. LIGHT AND SOMEWHAT VARIABLE
WINDS ARE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA ARE CURRENTLY IN THE
60S AND LOWER 70S. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT WITH LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT IN THE MID 30S TO
LOW 40S.
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE A LITTLE FURTHER EAST ON THURSDAY. WINDS
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
WILL MOSTLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST ON THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WARM UP THURSDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S WITH A SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA AND
WESTERN KANSAS. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S TO LOW 40S. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE
MORE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS ON FRIDAY WITH
WINDS ACROSS THE AREA MOSTLY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. THE SURFACE
TROUGH WILL ALSO EXPAND OVER MORE OF THE AREA WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
MOSTLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED FOR SOME AREAS ON FRIDAY. THE CURRENT RECORD HIGH FOR GRAND
ISLAND FOR FRIDAY IS 71 DEGREES AND THE CURRENT EXPECTED HIGH
TEMPERATURE IS 77 DEGREES. THE CURRENT RECORD HIGH FOR HASTINGS FOR
FRIDAY IS 74 DEGREES AND THE CURRENT EXPECTED HIGH TEMPERATURE IS 75
DEGREES. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY FRIDAY NIGHT WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S.
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH
MOVES OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST. WINDS WILL BE OUT
OF THE NORTH WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S TO LOW 70S ON
SATURDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE LOW/MID
30S TO LOW 40S. A SURFACE HIGH WILL BE CENTERED ACROSS EASTERN
NEBRASKA AND WILL EXPAND WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LOW
TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN THE PREVIOUS
NIGHT.
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
MORE ACTIVE WEATHER, AS WELL AS MORE UNCERTAINTY, RETURNS TO THE
FORECAST ON MONDAY. AN UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY BUT MODELS DIFFER ON THE LOCATION OF THE
UPPER LOW. THIS LOW WILL INCREASE PRECIPITATION CHANCES ON MONDAY
(UP TO AROUND 50%). THE LOCATION OF THE UPPER LOW WILL DETERMINE HOW
COLD THE TEMPERATURES ARE WHICH WILL DETERMINE PRECIPITATION TYPE.
THE ECMWF MODEL KEEPS THE UPPER LOW FURTHER NORTH OVER NEBRASKA WITH
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY WELL ABOVE FREEZING WITH
PRECIPITATION FALLING AS RAIN. THE GFS MODEL BRINGS THE UPPER LOW
OVER KANSAS WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING
ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA (MAINLY NORTH OF I-80) WITH
FROZEN PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE. THESE MODELS BRING A WIDE RANGE OF
POSSIBLE HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR MONDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT
ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. THE UPPER TROUGH
WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION ON TUESDAY; HOWEVER, A BROAD SURFACE
HIGH WILL BE OVER THE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT IN HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
TUESDAY IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1127 AM CST WED NOV 12 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
RANGE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 00Z TO THE SOUTHWEST BY AROUND
12Z.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SCHULDT
AVIATION...SCHULDT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page