782
FNUS75 KGJT 141513
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR GOODENOUGH PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
813 AM MST TUE JAN 14 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON JANUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WARM AIR NOSING IN AT MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE LEAVE MUCH OF
WESTERN COLORADO TERRAIN UNDER A STRONG INVERSION THROUGH THE WEEK.
THANKS TO THIS UPPER-LEVEL WARM BUBBLE AND LIGHT WINDS, MUCH OF
WESTERN COLORADO TERRAIN WILL REMAIN UNDER POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL.
SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY RISE UNDER THIS REGIME, BUT
UNLIKELY TO SUFFICE FOR GOOD MIXING.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15000-16000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 11 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......150.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....6-12.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT, SOUTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000-5000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......50.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8000-15000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......120.
FORECASTER...ERIN WALTER
REQUESTED BY...DEREK PABLOFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500572.0/GJT
.DELDT 01/14/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DEREK.PABLOFF@USDA.GOV
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