369  
FNUS75 KGJT 130443  
FWSGJT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CROSHO...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO  
1043 PM MDT TUE AUG 12 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2300 MDT ON AUGUST 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY
 
 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH  
THURSDAY EVENING...  
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH  
FRIDAY EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
WINDS WILL TURN WESTERLY WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE  
SLIDES EASTWARD WITH DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. THE FLOW SHIFTS  
TO THE SOUTHWEST BY THURSDAY, RESULTING IN AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE  
AND THE RETURN OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. IT IS MORE  
PROBABLE FOR STORMS TO PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND LIGHTNING  
RATHER THAN WETTING RAIN, SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED  
FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS THURSDAY.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.  
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6000-7000 KNOT-FT).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......13100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.  
MAX HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
5-10 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD DECREASING TO POOR (9000 KNOT-FT)  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......11900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......14400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...KATHRYN ABBOTT  
REQUESTED BY...SAM PFAHLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2519797.0/GJT  
.DELDT 08/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CONCC@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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