852
FNUS75 KGJT 132222
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR WATERS CANYON...BIA / NPS / USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
422 PM MDT WED AUG 13 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR
DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...
DISCUSSION
A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN MOVES IN THURSDAY AHEAD OF A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM. WITH THIS, DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME THE
GREATEST CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER, PROMPTING FIRE WEATHER
HIGHLIGHTS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL IS LOWER
ON THURSDAY BEFORE RAMPING UP ON FRIDAY. STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF
DEVELOPING IN THE MORNING AND LASTING THROUGH THE EARLY PORTIONS
OF THE NIGHT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................<10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 3-7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT
8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH BY 1400 MDT.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (31000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 MPH SHIFTING TO WEST 13 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................<10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
MAX HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN
THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 4-8
MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD DECREASING TO POOR (4000 KNOT-FT)
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6-10 MPH IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO
THE WEST AT 9-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH BY
1400 MDT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO VERY GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...BRAEDEN WINTERS
REQUESTED BY...COUMA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519505.6/GJT
.DELDT 08/13/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JACOB.BIRDSELL@USDA.GOV,CLINT.MENDENHALL@USDA.GOV,FAITH_HEINSCH@FIRENET.GOV,JULIAN.REDBUFFALO@BIA.GOV,JOHN_CERVANTES@FIRENET.GOV
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