700
FNUS75 KGJT 140241
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR CROSHO...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
841 PM MDT WED AUG 13 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
DRY THUNDERSTORMS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM MDT FRIDAY FOR
DRY THUNDERSTORMS...
DISCUSSION
MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING ACROSS EASTERN UTAH AND
WESTERN COLORADO OVER THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS, BRINGING GRADUALLY
INCREASING HUMIDITY AND INCREASED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. AS THE
SURFACE LEVELS ARE VERY DRY AND WILL TAKE TIME TO MOISTEN, DRY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE A CONCERN ON THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY. CHANCES OF
WETTING RAIN DO INCREASE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. CHANCES OF AFTERNOON
SHOWERS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) AFTER 1200. AREAS
OF SMOKE THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
BY 0900. INCREASING TO 4-8 MPH AFTER 1200.
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER 1600. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000-12000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR BY
1000, TO GOOD BY 1100, AND TO VERY GOOD BY 1200.
DECREASING AGAIN TO GOOD AFTER 1400.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13400 FT AGL BY 1200.
DECREASING TO 8900 FT AGL BY 1700.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) AFTER 2400. CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. AREAS OF SMOKE THROUGH
THE NIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4-8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST BY
2100. BECOMING SOUTH WINDS 3-5 MPH AFTER 2400.
GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH POSSIBLE BEFORE 2100. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR (4000-25000 KNOT-FT)
BY 1900.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) AFTER 1200. AREAS
OF SMOKE THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
AND A CHANCE OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST BY
1000. BECOMING WEST WINDS 4-8 MPH BY 1200, THEN
SHIFTING BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST BY 1700. GUSTS UP TO
20 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6000-32000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR BY
1100, AND TO GOOD BY 1200. DECREASING AGAIN TO FAIR
BY 1600, AND TO POOR (20000-39000 KNOT-FT) BY 1700.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL BY 1200, THEN
DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL BY 1700.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...BRIANNA BEALO
REQUESTED BY...FAITH ANN HEINSCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519873.0/GJT
.DELDT 08/13/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL PAUL_MITCHEM@FIRENET.GOV,FAITH_HEINSCH@FIRENET.GOV,ERIC_HAWES@FIRENET.GOV
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