072
FNUS75 KGJT 171945
FWSGJT
SPOT FORECAST FOR BROCKOVER RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
145 PM MDT WED SEP 17 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THURSDAY. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL
IMPROVE FROM POOR TO GOOD BETWEEN 1100 MDT AND 1400 MDT, RETURNING
TO POOR AFTER 1900 MDT. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND
WETTING RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED. A MORE STABLE PATTERN RETURNS
FRIDAY WITH POOR TO FAIR SMOKE DISPERSAL EXPECTED DURING
AFTERNOON, ALONG WITH LIGHTER WINDS, HIGHER RH VALUES AND CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
IN THE AFTERNOON AT 10-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (25000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR DECREASING TO POOR (3000 KNOT-FT)
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12-15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
IN THE AFTERNOON AT 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10-15
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
FORECASTER...LUCAS BOYER
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN AUSTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522095.0/GJT
.DELDT 09/17/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIAN.AUSTIN@USDA.GOV
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