486
FXUS65 KGJT 032348
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
448 PM MST MON NOV 3 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
- A SLIGHTLY COOLER AND MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN SETS UP
FOR THURSDAY AND BEYOND.
- LOW END (<40%) CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1255 PM MST MON NOV 3 2025
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON THANKS TO A PASSING WAVE ALOFT. AS A RESULT, TEMPERATURES
HAVE STRUGGLED TO WARM FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-70 IN SPITE OF
ONGOING WARM AIR ADVECTION. IN AREAS THAT HAVE SEEN SUNSHINE,
PARTICULARLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST UTAH AND SOUTHWEST COLORADO,
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED AS EXPECTED AND ARE ALREADY 10 OR SO
DEGREES ABOVE EARLY NOVEMBER NORMALS. LUCKILY FOR AREAS STRUGGLING
TO WARM, THE BACK EDGE OF THIS CLOUD SHIELD IS ALREADY MOVING INTO
THE REGION. A FEW HOURS OF LATE-FALL SUNSHINE SHOULD HELP THESE
AREAS WARM UP SEVERAL DEGREES, HOPEFULLY EVEN REACHING THE EXPECTED
5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
ONCE THIS WAVE TRACKS EAST OF THE DIVIDE, ZONAL FLOW ALOFT TAKES
CONTROL ONCE AGAIN, PROMOTING QUIET CONDITIONS AND CLEAR SKIES
ACROSS EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
WELL ABOVE NORMAL, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS MILD FOR THE TIME OF YEAR AND
HIGHS RUNNING 8-12 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD
INTO THE GREAT BASIN TOMORROW EVENING AND TRACKS EAST THROUGH THE
NIGHT, WINDING UP DIRECTLY OVERHEAD BY WEDNESDAY MORNING, MAINTAINING
THE WARM AND DRY WEATHER FOR ANOTHER DAY.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1255 PM MST MON NOV 3 2025
A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN THE PACNW MID
TO LATE WEEK. THE FIRST ONE IS EXPECTED TO BREAK UP INTO SEVERAL
WEAK WAVES WITH ONE OF THEM CLIPPING THE NORTHERN CWA ON THURSDAY.
THERE MAY BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS. THE NEXT SYSTEM TRACKS OVER WYOMING AND MONTANA FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THIS ONE COULD ALSO BRING SHOWERS TO THE SAME
LOCATIONS. BOTH OF THESE WAVES WILL PUSH COLD FRONTS THROUGH THE
AREA, SO EXPECT A COOL DOWN. AS OF NOW MOST OF THE QPF IS CONFINED
TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND AMOUNTS ARE RELATIVELY LOW. A RIDGE
THEN BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN CONUS KEEPING US IN NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 440 PM MST MON NOV 3 2025
HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVERAGE WILL DECREASE A BIT OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS, AND THEN WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST TOMORROW
MORNING. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW AFTER 18Z.
SOME STRONGER GUSTS AROUND 25 KTS ARE POSSIBLE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY NORTH OF I-70 IN COLORADO. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
SHORT TERM...BGB
LONG TERM...KJS
AVIATION...TGJT
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