860
FXUS65 KGJT 071137
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
437 AM MST FRI NOV 7 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW IS ON TAP FOR THE NORTHERN DIVIDE
MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING. 1-4" IS EXPECTED, MAINLY ABOVE 9,000
FEET. MOUNTAIN PASSES MAY BECOME SLIPPERY!
- WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS MOVE IN THIS WEEKEND AND REMAIN IN
PLACE FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 156 AM MST FRI NOV 7 2025
ONE LAST SURGE OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVES THROUGH THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING WITH GOOD JET SUPPORT
AND MODEST PWATS TO WORK WITH. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY'S LIGHT
SNOW EVENT ALONG THE NORTHERN DIVIDE MOUNTAINS, TODAY'S WILL
ALSO PRODUCE A QUICK DOSE OF LIGHT SNOW, MAINLY ABOVE 9,000
FEET. HOWEVER, TODAY'S SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME
CONVECTIVE ENHANCEMENT. THIS COULD MEAN LOCALLY HIGHER SNOW
TOTALS, BUT IN GENERAL WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT 1-4" ALONG THE
PARK RANGE WITH SOME SLIPPERY SPOTS DEVELOPING OVER MOUNTAIN
PASSES.
HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD BACK IN TOMORROW MARKING THE
BEGINNING OF ANOTHER STRETCH OF SEASONABLE TO UNSEASONABLY WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 156 AM MST FRI NOV 7 2025
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AS A LARGE
AMPLIFIED HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE REMAINS TO OUR WEST AND A DEEP
TROUGH IS SITUATED OVER THE EASTERN CONUS AND GREAT LAKES
REGION. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE A BIT COOLER WITH HIGHS
NEAR SEASONABLE LEVELS IN GENERAL. SOME SHORTWAVE ENERGY WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE PACNW AND ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA, WHICH WILL ACT
TO FLATTEN THE RIDGE SOMEWHAT EARLY NEXT WEEK AND RESULT IN
SOME PASSING HIGH CLOUDS FROM TIME TO TIME BUT THE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE LOOKS TO REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK,
ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM WITH HIGHS 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. CONDITIONS WILL ALSO REMAIN DRY THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.
TOWARDS THE END OF THE COMING WEEK, A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL
LOOM JUST OFF THE WEST COAST. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY IN HOW MODELS WANT TO HANDLE THIS TROUGH AS BOTH
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS HAVE NOT BEEN CONSISTENT
RUN TO RUN. SO VERY LOW CONFIDENCE IN ANY PRECIPITATION THROUGH
THE COMING WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 434 AM MST FRI NOV 7 2025
IT WILL BE A QUIET START TO THE TAF PERIOD WITH HIGH CLOUDS AT
A FEW SITE. WINDS GUST UP TO 20-25 KNOTS AT MOST TERMINALS THIS
AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING CLOUD COVER. A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM
ROLLS THROUGH THIS EVENING, MAINLY NORTH OF I-70. EXPECT GUSTY
WINDS AND MID-LEVEL CEILINGS WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING BY THE
END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
SHORT TERM...KAA
LONG TERM...MDA
AVIATION...TGJT
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