996
FXUS65 KGJT 271133
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
433 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A QUICK MOVING SYSTEM MAY BRING SOME FLURRIES TO THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. MINIMAL TO NO IMPACTS EXPECTED.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARMUP THROUGH THE WEEK.
- ANOTHER WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY/EARLY THURSDAY
BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW. AND AGAIN
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 235 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
IR SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER AT THE
MOMENT THANKS TO A WEAK, QUICK MOVING SHORTWAVE. PREVIOUS MODEL
RUNS SHOWED A BRIEF SNOW SHOWER/FLURRY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS
WAVE FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS BUT ALL MODELS (NBM, NAM, HRRR,
ETC.) NOW INDICATE THIS PASSAGE WILL BE DRY. NOT COMPLETELY
SOLD ON THIS IDEA BUT IT'S SUCH A FAST MOVING SYSTEM THAT IF ANY
SNOW SHOULD FALL, MINIMAL IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED. BY NOON, THE
WAVE WILL HAVE PUSHED EASTWARD AS PLENTY OF SUNSHINE RETURNS.
RIDGING BUILDS IN TONIGHT AND THROUGH TOMORROW UNTIL ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE SKIRTS THE AREA. NEUTRAL ADVECTION WILL KEEP HIGHS ON
WEDNESDAY SIMILAR TO TODAY.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 235 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A BIT OF LIGHT MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL, MOSTLY QUIET
WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. A FAST MOVING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT,
BRINGING A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF SYNOPTIC FORCING, AND ENOUGH
MOISTURE TO THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS TO BRING PWATS BACK TOWARDS
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE WILL NOT BE
PLENTIFUL, THE FORCING FROM THE SHORTWAVE SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT LIGHT SNOWFALL IN THE NORTHERN COLORADO MOUNTAINS,
ESPECIALLY AS FLOW SHIFTS TO NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE WAVE,
PROMOTING OROGRAPHIC LIFT. THIS LIGHT SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING, BUT VERY LITTLE IS EXPECTED IN TERMS OF
ACCUMULATIONS. AFTER THAT, RIDGING ALOFT KEEPS THE WEATHER DRY AND
QUIET THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MODELS ARE HINTING AT A SYSTEM POSSIBLY
BRINGING ACTIVE WEATHER TO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WARM THROUGH THE LONG TERM,
LEADING TO HIGHS AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEKEND.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 431 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
A PASSING WAVE WILL BRING SOME MIDLEVEL CEILINGS TO THE AREA
THIS MORNING BUT BY 18Z, CEILINGS WILL LIFT GIVING WAY TO MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES. DESPITE THE CLOUDS, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED THOUGH A FEW HIGHER
AFTERNOON GUSTS CAN'T BE RULED OUT OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN THIS
AFTERNOON.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
SHORT TERM...TGR
LONG TERM...GF
AVIATION...TGJT
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