549
FXUS65 KGJT 300820
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
120 AM MST FRI JAN 30 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- EXPECT LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE PARK AND GORE RANGES
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW NIGHT.
- WARMING DAYS, COOL NIGHTS WITH DRY WEATHER PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND MOST OF NEXT WEEK FOR MOST OF THE REGION.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 116 AM MST FRI JAN 30 2026
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REMAINS POSITIONED OVERHEAD ON
THE BACKSIDE OF A BROAD EASTERN CONUS TROUGH. ONE TRANSIENT WAVE
EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS FLOW IS CURRENTLY TRANSITING ACROSS OUR
CWA, BRINGING LIGHT SNOWFALL TO THE PARK RANGE AGAIN. MOISTURE
IS WEAK AT THE MOMENT THOUGH, AND WITHOUT ANY NOTABLE FORCING,
WE'RE LOOKING AT LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THE NIGHT. A SECOND
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE ARRIVES TOMORROW MORNING, ACCOMPANIED BY
MUCH MORE NOTABLE MOISTURE. ENSEMBLE PWAT'S PEAK AT 160-190% OF
NORMAL ACROSS OUR NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. THOUGH THE NBM PROBABILITY
OF MEASURABLE SNOWFALL IS SLIGHTLY HIGHER WITH TOMORROW
MORNING'S WAVE, THE CONTINUED LACK OF FORCING KEEPS 1+" OF SNOW
CHANCES BELOW 20%. ASIDE FROM THESE UNIMPRESSIVE PERIODS OF
SNOWFALL ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA, THE REST OF THE REGION WILL
SEE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 116 AM MST FRI JAN 30 2026
AS HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR MUCH OF THIS WINTER, EASTERN UTAH AND
WESTERN COLORADO WILL BE UNDER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW, SANDWICHED
BETWEEN A RIDGE TO THE WEST AND A TROUGH TO THE EAST. PASSING
WAVES IN THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING PERIODS OF INCREASED CLOUDS
AND SOME SNOW SHOWERS TO THE NORTHERN, AND PERHAPS CENTRAL,
DIVIDE MOUNTAINS. MODELS ARE GROWING INCREASINGLY CONFIDENT THAT
A REX BLOCK WILL SET UP OVER THE WEST COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK,
WITH A LOW OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA, AND A HIGH CENTERED OVER
NEVADA. THIS WOULD KEEP US SUNNY AND DRY, DEFLECTING ANY
POTENTIAL SYSTEMS TO OUR NORTH AND EAST. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD, WITH TEMPERATURES
STARTING OUT NEAR NORMAL AND CLIMBING TO 5- 10 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 912 PM MST THU JAN 29 2026
MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PIN CLOUDS AGAINST
THE NORTHERN COLORADO MOUNTAINS WHERE LIGHT SNOW WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. IMPACTS TO TAF SITES APPEAR TO
LIMITED TO A PASSING MID CLOUD DECK AT KHDN AT TIMES. OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES CAN BE EXPECTED AT THE TAF
SITES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
SHORT TERM...BW
LONG TERM...BGB
AVIATION...TGJT
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