146
FXUS65 KGJT 312106
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
206 PM MST SAT JAN 31 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMING DAYS, COOL NIGHTS AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND MOST OF COMING WEEK.
- THERE IS A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND BREEZY WINDS
TUESDAY OVER THE NORTHERN COLORADO MOUNTAINS WITH LITTLE IF
ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION LIKELY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 159 PM MST SAT JAN 31 2026
HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WITH RIDGING
EXTENDING UP THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD
ACROSS NEW MEXICO AND COLORADO SUNDAY BEFORE PUSHING OUT ONTO THE
PLAINS AND WEST TEXAS SUNDAY NIGHT. A COUPLE SHORTWAVES DO TOP THE
RIDGE SUNDAY, BUT REMAIN TOO FAR NORTH TO BRING ANYTHING MORE THAN A
HIGH CLOUDS TO EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN COLORADO. EXPECT MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION WITH PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND WILL WARM
A FEW DEGREES TOMORROW. LOOK FOR THE MORNING LOWS TO RUN NEAR NORMAL
IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS TO ABOUT TEN DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE
LOWER VALLEYS.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 159 PM MST SAT JAN 31 2026
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THIS
IS THANKS TO PERSISTENT A RIDGING OVER THE WEST THROUGH MUCH OF THE
WORKWEEK. A DISTURBANCE TO OUR NORTH WILL FLATTEN THE RIDGE, BUT
LATE MONDAY RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE WEST AGAIN AS THE DISTURBANCE
MOVES EAST OF THE ROCKIES. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO
PROVIDE LIFT TO OUR NORTHERN COLORADO MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS COULD ALLOW FOR SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL ON TUESDAY. THE
DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A SMALL AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WITH IT, BUT THIS
ONLY BRINGS PWATS TO AROUND 120% OF NORMAL AT MOST. THE LACK OF
MOISTURE SHOULD KEEP ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO LESS THAN AN INCH,
AND REALLY ONLY OVER THE PARK RANGE. AN INCREASED PRESSURE GRADIENT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSING DISTURBANCE COULD LEAD TO STRONGER WIND
GUSTS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AFTER TUESDAY THE RETURN OF RIDGING ALOFT
WILL DRIVE WARM AND CALM WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WORKWEEK. ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECASTED THROUGH THE
LONG TERM PERIOD, BUT TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BY A FEW DEGREES ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE PASSING DISTURBANCE. HIGHS 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ARE ANTICIPATED IN THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1030 AM MST SAT JAN 31 2026
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT BREEZES THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
SHORT TERM...DB
LONG TERM...GF
AVIATION...DB
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