288
FXUS65 KGJT 010721
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1221 AM MST SUN FEB 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES 10-15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK.
- BREEZY WINDS ARE LIKELY TUESDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE HIGH
TERRAIN. LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1209 AM MST SUN FEB 1 2026
HIGH PRESSURE IS FIRMLY IN PLACE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST,
BRINGING QUIET CONDITIONS TO THE CWA. WE'RE RUNNING 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AS A RESULT. DETERMINISTIC MODELS INDICATED
A SHORTWAVE WILL SWING THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON, WHICH WILL
BRIEFLY BRING HIGH TEMPERATURES DOWN (THOUGH STILL WELL ABOVE
NORMAL). A SLIGHT UPTICK IN MOISTURE WILL ACCOMPANY THIS UPPER-
LEVEL FEATURE, BUT IT'S HIGHLY LIKELY THAT THIS WILL RESULT IN
LITTLE MORE THAN CLOUDY SKIES.
LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1209 AM MST SUN FEB 1 2026
MUCH OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE QUIET WHILE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SITTING TO OUR WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE
MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE FIRST
WEEK OF FEBRUARY WITH HIGHS AROUND 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. AS
THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SITS TO OUR WEST, OUR CWA WILL BE UNDER A
NORTHERLY FLOW. A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL DROP SOUTHWARD DOWN THE FRONT
RANGE ON TUESDAY WITH LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL DIVIDE MOUNTAINS, ALTHOUGH MODELS KEEP PULLING THIS WAVE
FURTHER EAST WITH EACH RUN SO ANY ACCUMULATION LOOKS MINIMAL WITH
LACK OF DYNAMIC SUPPORT. AT THE VERY LEAST, WE COULD SEE SOME BREEZY
CONDITIONS OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL SLIDE
OVERHEAD BY FRIDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PUSHES ONTO THE SOCAL
COAST. THIS WILL ALLOW HIGH CLOUDS TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. POTENTIAL FOR ANY PRECIPITATION IS VERY LOW
AND CONFIDENCE IS LOW WITH THE FORECAST TRENDING MORE TOWARDS A
DRIER SOLUTION. THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH HOW THIS
SOCAL LOW IS GOING TO EVOLVE WITH SOME SOLUTIONS CUTTING IT OFF,
KEEPING US ON THE DRIER SIDE OF THINGS. TEMPERATURES MAY COOL
SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE NORTH AND ALONG THE DIVIDE WITH THE TUESDAY WAVE
BUT OVERALL, TEMPERATURES DON'T APPEAR TO BUDGE MUCH DAY TO DAY WITH
HIGHS AROUND 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 936 PM MST SAT JAN 31 2026
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER THE REGION, BRINGING
SCATTERED TO BROKEN SKIES THROUGH 18Z TOMORROW. CEILINGS WILL
REMAIN WELL ABOVE BREAKPOINTS, SO NO IMPACTS TO AIRPORTS ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN
THROUGH THE PERIOD. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
SHORT TERM...BW
LONG TERM...MDA
AVIATION...TGJT
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