956
FXUS65 KGJT 072349
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
449 PM MST SAT MAR 7 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- CLEAR SKIES AND WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES RISING TO
10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
- THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SOME MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS
TUESDAY, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS TIME.
- ANOMALOUSLY WARM TEMPERATURES CLOSE TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
ARE EXPECTED BY THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH MANY LOCATIONS
SEEING NEAR-RECORD BREAKING WARMTH.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 1242 PM MST SAT MAR 7 2026
YESTERDAY'S SYSTEM HAS, AS EXPECTED, SPLIT INTO TWO FEATURES. TO THE
SOUTHWEST, A RETROGRADING CLOSED LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE BAJA
PENINSULA, WHILE TO THE EAST THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS EJECTING INTO
THE PLAINS. BETWEEN THESE FEATURES, OVER EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO, A COL HAS DEVELOPED, PROMOTING CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS,
AND DRY CONDITIONS. THE COL WILL REMAIN OVERHEAD THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, WITH WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION ONGOING. TEMPERATURES WARM TO
AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY, WITH HIGHS TOMORROW RUNNING 5-
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. UNDER CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT AND TOMORROW
NIGHT, GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. LOWS WILL
RUN NEAR TO A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. ADDITIONALLY, WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE POOLED IN THE LOWER VALLEYS, PARTICULARLY THE NORTHERN
UINTA BASIN AND UNCOMPAHGRE AND GUNNISON RIVER VALLEYS, THE
DEVELOPMENT OF FOG AND LOW STRATUS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT. A
WEAK WAVE AND THE EDGE OF THE POLAR JET APPROACH FROM THE NORTH
TOMORROW AFTERNOON, RESULTING IN BREEZY CONDITIONS FOR THE NORTHERN
VALLEYS AND PASSING HIGH CLOUDS. ALL IN ALL, A VERY PLEASANT EARLY
SPRING WEEKEND.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1242 PM MST SAT MAR 7 2026
THE FORECAST FOR THE WORKWEEK IS WARM TEMPERATURES, LITTLE TO NO
PRECIPITATION, AND BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS. ON MONDAY ZONAL FLOW WILL
KEEP COLD AIR TO OUR NORTH, AND A WARM AIR MASS IN PLACE OVER OUR
CWA. ON TUESDAY A TROUGH TO OUR NORTH WILL DIG SOUTHWARD, JUST CLOSE
ENOUGH TO SEND A SMALL BIT OF ENERGY ACROSS OUR NORTHERN MOUNTAINS
LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THE TROUGH WILL SHIFT FLOW TO
NORTHWESTERLY, WHICH WILL PROVIDE SOME LIFT FROM FAVORABLE
OROGRAPHICS IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. DIFLUENCE IN THE FLOW ABOVE
THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS SHOULD PROVIDE A BIT OF LIFT THERE AS WELL.
AT THE SAME TIME, A MODERATE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ADVECTS INTO THE
AREA FROM OUR NORTH AND SOUTH. THIS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN LIGHT
MOUNTAIN SNOWFALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING,
BUT VERY LITTLE IS EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE, LESS THAN AN INCH JUST IN
THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. AFTER THE TROUGH MOVES TO OUR EAST, HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING TO OUR WEST WILL KEEP THE WEATHER QUIET THROUGH
SATURDAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH A BRIEF DAY OF
COOLER TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE TROUGH PASSAGE. HIGHS ON
MONDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, AND BY
FRIDAY HIGHS WILL WARM BY A FEW MORE DEGREES. THIS MEANS MULTIPLE
DAYS OF EITHER NEAR RECORD, OR RECORD BREAKING, TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 436 PM MST SAT MAR 7 2026
A FEW HIGH CLOUDS WILL DRIFT OVERHEAD THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
BUT WON'T POSE ANY AVIATION CONCERNS. VFR CONDITIONS REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH TOMORROW. MAY SEE A FEW SPOTTY GUSTY WINDS IN THE
AFTERNOON BUT MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS ANTICIPATED.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
SHORT TERM...BGB
LONG TERM...GF
AVIATION...TGJT
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