819
FXUS65 KGJT 082330
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
530 PM MDT SUN MAR 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMING TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- WEAK SNOW SHOWERS FAVORING OUR NORTHERN MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY
REMAIN A POSSIBILITY.
- ANOMALOUSLY WARM TEMPERATURES CLOSE TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
ARE EXPECTED BY THE END OF THE WEEK, WITH MANY LOCATIONS
SEEING NEAR-RECORD BREAKING WARMTH.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 1059 AM MDT SUN MAR 8 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR WARMING TEMPERATURES AND CALM
WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY. TODAY'S HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB
ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE REGION. CONTINUED WARMING WILL RESULT IN
SOME NEAR RECORD OR RECORD BREAKING HIGHS TOMORROW, AS
TEMPERATURES INCREASE TO 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. TONIGHT
THE JET TO OUR NORTH WILL SINK SOUTHWARD, AND STRONG WINDS
DOWNSTREAM OF A CUTOFF LOW TO OUR SOUTH SHIFT NORTHWARD. AS A
RESULT, WINDS ALOFT INCREASE FROM BOTH THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TOMORROW WILL SUPPORT GOOD MIXING OF THESE
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT. PEAK AFTERNOON GUSTS TOMORROW LOOK TO BE
20-30 MPH, WITH THE STRONGEST GUSTS OCCURRING OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AND NORTH OF I-70..
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1059 AM MDT SUN MAR 8 2026
ON TUESDAY, A CLOSED LOW WILL PASS TO THE SOUTH WHILE A WEAK
SHORTWAVE BRUSHES OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES. WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH WILL BRING SOME OROGRAPHIC CLOUDS
AND SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHERN DIVIDE. ADDITIONALLY, A 100-110 KNOT
JET WILL BRING SOME BREEZY SURFACE WINDS TO AREAS NORTH OF I-70.
MOISTURE IS MODEST, WITH PWATS 100-130% OF NORMAL GENERALLY NORTH OF
THE BOOKCLIFFS AND SOUTH OF THE SAN JUANS. WITH LIMITED MOISTURE AND
WEAK FORCING, THERE WILL BE LIGHT MOUNTAIN RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS
ALONG THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN DIVIDE, BUT ACCUMULATIONS, IF ANY,
WILL BE MINIMAL. BLENDED GUIDANCE INDICATES A TRACE TO A FEW TENTHS
OF AN INCH OF SNOW AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS, WITH MAYBE A FEW
HUNDREDTHS OF RAIN BELOW THAT. ONCE THESE FEATURES PASS TO THE EAST,
STRENGTHENING NORTHWESTERLY FLOW SETS UP, ALONG WITH ANOTHER JET
JUST TO OUR NORTH. PROXIMITY TO THE JET AND DEEP MIXING UNDER MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES WILL BRING BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL, AND TEMPERATURES REMAIN WELL ABOVE
NORMAL. TUESDAY'S HIGHS WILL RUN 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, BUT A
QUICK COOL DOWN WEDNESDAY DROPS THEM TO AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. HOWEVER, BY THE END OF THE WEEK HIGHS 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL RETURN, WITH MANY LOCATIONS CLOSE TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL,
APPROACHING RECORD HIGHS.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 524 PM MDT SUN MAR 8 2026
MOSTLY CLEAR TO CLEAR SKIES WILL BE THE RULE. VFR CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SOME GUSTS OF 20 TO
25KTS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST TAF SITES TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
SHORT TERM...GF
LONG TERM...BGB
AVIATION...TGJT
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