128
FXUS65 KGJT 161647
AFDGJT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1047 AM MDT MON MAR 16 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- THERE IS ANOTHER FROST/FREEZE RISK FOR THE LOWER VALLEYS
TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE LOW 20S TO LOW 30S.
- PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL HIGH MOUNTAINS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. ROADWAYS MAY
BECOME SNOW COVERED AT TIMES.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS DOMINATE THIS WEEK'S FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1044 AM MDT MON MAR 16 2026
TODAY AND TOMORROW:
NORTHWEST FLOW REMAINS ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY.
AN INFLUX OF MOISTURE HAS RESULTED IN EXPANSIVE STRATUS AND LIGHT
SNOW FOR THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. MINOR IMPACTS AREA
POSSIBLE MAINLY AT THE PASS LEVEL. THIS MOISTURE WILL STICK AROUND
UNTIL MID DAY TOMORROW, SO THE SNOW CONTINUES OVERNIGHT AND WITH
SHOWERS DECREASING IN THE MORNING. ALSO, WINDS ARE STILL GUSTY IN
THE MOUNTAINS THEREFORE SOME BLOWING SNOW IS POSSIBLE AT TIMES.
WEDNESDAY ONWARD:
AN ANAMOLOUS RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN US CAUSING
CONDITIONS TO WARM UP AND DRY OUT. IN FACT, TEMPERATURES END UP
20 TO 30 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN
RECORD HIGHS INTO THE WEEKEND. MORE SPECIFICALLY TEMPERATURES
WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 90 DEGREES IN THE UTAH CANYON COUNTRY TO
NEAR 70 DEGREES IN THE MOUNTAIN TOWNS.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 516 AM MDT MON MAR 16 2026
LOW STRATUS IS SLOWLY FILLING IN ALONG THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
COLORADO DIVIDE. CEILINGS WILL LIKELY DROP SLIGHTLY BELOW ILS
BREAKPOINTS AT KASE THIS AFTERNOON, BUT SHOULD RETURN ABOVE
BREAKPOINTS AFTER 00Z. CEILINGS REMAIN ABOVE BREAKPOINTS
ELSEWHERE. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AND WESTERLY NEAR THE FOUR
CORNERS, WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KNOTS POSSIBLE AT KTEX AND
KDRO. MOST OTHER LOCATIONS WILL SEE WINDS FOLLOW TYPICAL TERRAIN
DRIVEN PATTERNS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CO...NONE.
UT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KJS
AVIATION...TGJT
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